Winter 2025-26

[George BM]

1 hour ago, aldie 22 said:

The volcano eruption will save us

That's right Aldie man. Use your power to get us another major volcanic eruption... preferably at least a high-end VEI 6/ low-end VEI 7.  

I'll be checking the news throughout the evening.

[Bob Chill]

On 6/17/2025 at 6:12 PM, JenkinsJinkies said:

So do you think we've permanently lost the 1996/2003/2016 level storms?

No, not like that. Imho- record breakers are more likely than less likely. Something will line up just right and put down insane totals before long. Juice is real and prolific qpf makers in general are on the increase.

Bread butter frequency is what is worrisome. The punch of the northern jet seems to be retreating on avg and south of the M/D never had a lot of room to spare even in the better times of decades past. Lack of clippers is a good example of what I'm talking about among other things. 2014-15 was 10 years ago already. Seems nearly impossible to get a run of clippers and overrunners since. The 4 decades before that had plenty. 

[Terpeast]

14 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

No, not like that. Imho- record breakers are more likely than less likely. Something will line up just right and put down insane totals before long. Juice is real and prolific qpf makers in general are on the increase.

Bread butter frequency is what is worrisome. The punch of the northern jet seems to be retreating on avg and south of the M/D never had a lot of room to spare even in the better times of decades past. Lack of clippers is a good example of what I'm talking about among other things. 2014-15 was 10 years ago already. Seems nearly impossible to get a run of clippers and overrunners since. The 4 decades before that had plenty. 

I second this.