ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:16 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:16 PM 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man that model is broken again. probably be back to nothing at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:17 PM nice fire hose from that south at hr 141 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:18 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:18 PM eastern areas not so bad yet though... western areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted Wednesday at 10:18 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:18 PM 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs massively caving Yeah that’s not even close to 12z’s look. Sort of spares SE MA but that’s just pumping moisture on SE flow for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Wednesday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:21 PM 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: How come no one posted GFS/ GEFS? Bc it’s a shit model lately. What a joke and a cave 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Wednesday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:25 PM Eventually migrates east. What a disaster that model is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted Wednesday at 10:28 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:28 PM 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You guys do the same in winter.Post the snowy models and ignore the non snowy . Now y’all doing it with potential rains lol Ok, what’s the excuse now? You’ve got every model showing a multi-day wet period. For the record I’m not saying 3-5” of rain is falling but there seems to be a high probability of a multi-day period of clouds and occasional water. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:43 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:43 PM just keeps going.. out to day 10 and still on and off showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Wednesday at 10:44 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:44 PM Let's not count our chickens before they shit. We're still in the range where there is a tendency for models to overstate some of these features. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Wednesday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:45 PM Not too shabby here! at least the flow is southerly or Southeasterly and not a wheel o'reah offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:46 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:46 PM 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Let's not count our chickens before they shit. We're still in the range where there is a tendency for models to overstate some of these features. GEFS starting to cave.. someone is going to get a crap load of rain.. might be PA NY NJ or SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Wednesday at 10:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:51 PM 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: GEFS starting to cave.. someone is going to get a crap load of rain.. might be PA NY NJ or SNE How often have we seen things "cave" in this range only for there to be a trend back in the opposite direction inside D4-5? This very well could happen, we've seen it before this time of year, but this is an anomalous evolution with more than one feature. Any subtle difference in evolution could have a vast difference on sensible weather. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Wednesday at 10:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:52 PM 40 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: we flood! You do realize most of this a week out will end up west of us right ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:52 PM Just now, Damage In Tolland said: You do realize most of this a week out will the up west of us right ? its been trending north and east.. we will see though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:53 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:53 PM 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: How often have we seen things "cave" in this range only for there to be a trend back in the opposite direction inside D4-5? This very well could happen, we've seen it before this time of year, but this is an anomalous evolution with more than one feature. Any subtle difference in evolution could have a vast difference on sensible weather. ya that's why I included other areas just not sure yet but looking more likely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted Wednesday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:56 PM 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Let's not count our chickens before they shit. We're still in the range where there is a tendency for models to overstate some of these features. For sure… but if you are going on camera for the news, you’re probably putting a few rain drops on the extended map. Maybe it turns out to be nice weather instead, but one could make a generalized forecast right now that some rainfall is likely happening along the east coast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Wednesday at 11:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:00 PM 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You do realize most of this a week out will end up west of us right ? That is climo for these sort of setups I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Wednesday at 11:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:03 PM 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: its been trending north and east.. we will see though I'm hoping that's not the case and he's finally right for once. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Wednesday at 11:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:05 PM Wagons west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Wednesday at 11:06 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:06 PM 12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: How often have we seen things "cave" in this range only for there to be a trend back in the opposite direction inside D4-5? This very well could happen, we've seen it before this time of year, but this is an anomalous evolution with more than one feature. Any subtle difference in evolution could have a vast difference on sensible weather. "It's a crapshoot at this range. Nobody knows" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Wednesday at 11:12 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:12 PM I’d buy into it if was mid- late summer. Not in Mayorch though. This has a central apps up to S VT kind of look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted Wednesday at 11:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:19 PM What a great stretch to close this month. The rains helped immensely but we need more. The spring growth push still dried out the underbrush, so let’s throw in some solid soakers in the next couple weeks to subdue fire risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 11:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:21 PM I wish we could lock this run in... if we can hold off the heat and dews until June and July then get lucky enough to have a cooler August that would be great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Wednesday at 11:23 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:23 PM Dews are coming. Gulf of Mexico is AN. Ass sweat here we come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 11:24 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:24 PM 18z CMC has a fire hose for SNE https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 11:25 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:25 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: Dews are coming. Gulf of Mexico is AN. Ass sweat here we come. I'll take it as long as we keep the 90s away.. no idea how some like it 90/75 its miserable 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 11:27 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:27 PM perfect for Mid May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Wednesday at 11:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:33 PM 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dews are coming. Gulf of Mexico is AN. Ass sweat here we come. Meh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Wednesday at 11:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:33 PM 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dews are coming. Gulf of Mexico is AN. Ass sweat here we come. That’s the great thing about Friday thru next week. They want the floods.. that comes with high dews. I expect the few holdouts install tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Wednesday at 11:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:33 PM 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: perfect for Mid May Or August Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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