2025-2026 ENSO

[bluewave]

24 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

It's only a matter of time before hurricanes will start forming in the subtropics and start threatening the northeast. 

New England has been very lucky since their last Hurricane Bob way back in 1991. This has been related to the 500 mb heights rising faster north and east of New England relative to the Gulf Coast.

The last major U.S. hurricane major landfall north of Jacksonville occurred in 1996. This is a new record for the U.S. Coastline relative to the total U.S. major landfalling hurricanes over a 30 year period.

It’s part of the reason that there have been so many high impact major landfalling hurricanes in and around the Gulf Coast recently. Even Sandy was driven west into SNJ near ACY and avoided a New England landfall. This is why it was so damaging around the NY Bight.

https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html

[GaWx]

 The RONI is back down to La Niña:

 

[snowman19]

Yep...left that out.

Everything was primed for -AO/-NAO high latitude blocking that winter. Textbook. Solar minimum, -QBO, Modoki El Niño, Atlantic “tripole”…..

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

It was a strong el nino, so you really can't prevent the warm-ups in between. Although, we did get consistent cold and snowstorms in February. (But the winter ended abruptly, as the snow stopped in Baltimore and DC in mid-February, and north of Baltimore by the beginning of March.) However, 2009-10 is the absolute best case for a strong el nino. It's like the modern day 1957-58 (that one also had warm-ups in between storms). Everyone got a good winter, with the exception of the PNW (the Vancouver Olympics were affected by record warmth and a lack of snow) and maybe the Midwest (ask @michsnowfreak, strong el ninos are never good there).

New England didn't get a great winter.