2025-2026 ENSO

[so_whats_happening]

Ill wait until my heating bill starts to reflect these notions of warmth and sustained warmth above 50 is on the way.

[MJO812]

26 minutes ago, so_whats_happening said:

Ill wait until my heating bill starts to reflect these notions of warmth and sustained warmth above 50 is on the way.

Seriously

Its the same people over and over again predicting warmth.  It has been a cold winter.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

50 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

This winter is nothing like 2013-2014 or 2014-2015. We hear comparisons to those winters almost every year. Those there Nearly countrywide blockbuster winters. Aside from the Midwest and northeast, winter never arrived this year for most of the US. Warm and dry as far as eye can see. 

Only East of the Mississippi. Those were record warm winters in the Western US, especially 14-15, but that one was a +PDO winter.

[MJO812]

I never seen dark blue before in a long time

[GaWx]

13 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Weeklies are incredible in the east through February 20.

Anthony’s not exaggerating. He’s absolutely right in terms of temperatures. Every week cooled in the latest run! It’s amazing how much the EW have cooled for Feb vs not too long ago looking mild every week! The chances of a mild Feb in the E US are now on life support after I earlier agreed with @snowman19thinking Feb was going to be mild per analogs.

[SnoSki14]

11 hours ago, roardog said:

I don’t know. When I think front loaded winter, I don’t think of a massive arctic outbreak in late January and possible +PNA going into February. 

Yeah Feb doesn't look warm to me. There could be warmer intervals but weeklies and monthly guidance suggest a near to BN month. 

MJO and PNA will be favorable for cold/snow.