2025-2026 ENSO

[SnoSki14]

50 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Stupid post

Dude's a huge troll but strong RNA pattern will lead to trough out west and possible SE ridge out east. 

[jm1220]

47 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Dude's a huge troll but strong RNA pattern will lead to trough out west and possible SE ridge out east. 

Best we can hope for with a stout -PNA is an overrunning snow to rain type system here with a retreating high. Or a sheared to nothing squeeze play system. We need the PNA to cooperate at least a little. 

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Best we can hope for with a stout -PNA is an overrunning snow to rain type system here with a retreating high. Or a sheared to nothing squeeze play system. We need the PNA to cooperate at least a little. 

No one should be expecting snow for the rest of this month. Its when December  hits when the pattern gets better. Weeklies show it nicely.  Alot of cold air to the north . 

Overrunning should be the theme

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, bncho said:

unbelievably awful ragebait

 

Seriously

Nothing is suggesting a warm December. 

[MJO812]

I dont know why some are worried about December. 

Weak Nina

 Easterly QBO 

- AAM

MJO into 8

SSW

What else can you ask for ?

[donsutherland1]

While I won't go overboard about December's prospects e.g., no 1983-type cold, an EPO-/WPO-/AO-/PNA- month wouldn't be the worst of outcomes. There should be opportunities for snowfall and at least some cold should periodically push into the East. I highly doubt we'll see a "torch" December.

[bncho]

15 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

While I won't go overboard about December's prospects e.g., no 1983-type cold, an EPO-/WPO-/AO-/PNA- month wouldn't be the worst of outcomes. There should be opportunities for snowfall and at least some cold should periodically push into the East. I highly doubt we'll see a "torch" December.

I laughed out loud at this.

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

I dont know why some are worried about December. 

Weak Nina

 East based QBO 

- AAM

MJO into 8

SSW

What else can you ask for ?

 I hope you’re right but the MJO actually reaching phase 8 is far from certain. Dec MJO in phase 8 has been difficult to come by for 15 years. The only notable (3+ days long) Dec phase 8 since 2009 was in 2017! 2023’s 8 zipped through in just one day. Some of this lack of Dec phase 8 was bad timing where they occurred late Nov or early Jan. But there were four times that phase 8 seemed to be blocked and instead it detoured and stayed back in 7 or went around to 1.

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 I hope you’re right but the MJO actually reaching phase 8 is far from certain. Dec MJO in phase 8 has been difficult to come by for 15 years. The only notable (3+ days long) Dec phase 8 since 2009 was in 2017! 2023’s 8 zipped through in just one day. Some of this lack of Dec phase 8 was bad timing where they occurred late Nov or early Jan. But there were four times that phase 8 seemed to be blocked and instead it detoured and stayed back in 7 or around to 1.

Phase 7 isnt bad either