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2025-2026 ENSO


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43 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

2019-2020 was pretty damn positive.

This plot is not dissimilar to the PNAcd170.63.193.141.272.5.24.6.prcp.png

I never said I think we are going to have a +EPO winter, I simply pointed out that we haven’t had a wall to wall +EPO winter since 11-12. Not sure why you think I was implying that for this winter, which I certainly am not 

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31 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I never said I think we are going to have a +EPO winter, I simply pointed out that we haven’t had a wall to wall +EPO winter since 11-12. Not sure why you think I was implying that for this winter, which I certainly am not 

No, I wasn't implying that.....the implication was as stated....we are due for more aggressive regresson in other areas. I think wall-to-wall anything is difficult to pull off....2011-2012 did it, but February was close.

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12-13: ENSO neutral

13-14: ENSO neutral

14-15: warm neutral/weak el nino

15-16: super el nino

16-17: weak la nina

17-18: weak la nina

18-19: weak el nino

19-20: warm neutral/weak el nino

20-21: moderate la nina

21-22: moderate la nina

22-23: moderate la nina (but dissipating)

23-24: strong el nino

24-25: ENSO neutral

I count 5 la nina years, 3 el nino years (2 strong ones), 2 borderline warm neutral/weak el nino years, and and 3 ENSO neutral years. If you want to make it 15, then you've got your 7 la nina years.

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22 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

12-13: ENSO neutral

13-14: ENSO neutral

14-15: warm neutral/weak el nino

15-16: super el nino

16-17: weak la nina

17-18: weak la nina

18-19: weak el nino

19-20: warm neutral/weak el nino

20-21: moderate la nina

21-22: moderate la nina

22-23: moderate la nina (but dissipating)

23-24: strong el nino

24-25: ENSO neutral

I count 5 la nina years, 3 el nino years (2 strong ones), 2 borderline warm neutral/weak el nino years, and and 3 ENSO neutral years. If you want to make it 15, then you've got your 7 la nina years.

I was looked back to 2016-2017....so not 10 years yet, but it will be because we aren't having an El Nino this season.

I will give you 2018-2019 as a weak El Nino, but not 2019-2020...that was neutral. And if you are going to consider 2018-2019 El Nino, which is fine, then you have to consider 2024-2025 weak La Nina.

Lets be consistent here.

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