Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[PackGrad05]

The rain/snow line on the 00Z HRRR is pretty much identical to 18Z.

The main difference is that it reduced totals by half in NC.  

At least for the triangle, this has all the makings of some initial sleet/snow falling for a short period of time (if that) and then quickly going to all cold rain.  

[BooneWX]

This is probably my last run of looking at the models for this event. I think a lot is decided by mid afternoon tomorrow regardless of what the models are showing. I hold some hope that cloud cover is going to cap temps more than what’s projected. Even 2-3° will have a big net impact 12 hrs later. 

[olafminesaw]

Seems reasonable 

[NorthHillsWx]

0z NAM was colder and more snow northern piedmont 

[wncsnow]

GFS backed off too for most of NC

[BornAgain13]

Looks like a solid 1-2" Snow for northern NC/southern VA with some locally getting 3". 

[olafminesaw]

The North trend is back better than ever. Looks like a great even for the central/Southern VA Piedmont. Still some hope for the Northern NC Piedmont, but fading 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[ncjoaquin]

Yesterday's record snow for the date from 1971 when it used to snow more than a half inch. 16.3 inches.  Of course, even a half inch is a struggle. 

YESTERDAY        0.0          16.3  1971   0.0      

 

[stormwatcherJ]

Man this forum is pretty dead considering we have a chance at a little wintry mix early in the season...I know the Triangle isn't looking at much potential, hoping I can squeeze a little something out of this system here in Hillsborough. I'm a little less than an hour south of Danville.

[eyewall]

13 minutes ago, stormwatcherJ said:

Man this forum is pretty dead considering we have a chance at a little wintry mix early in the season...I know the Triangle isn't looking at much potential, hoping I can squeeze a little something out of this system here in Hillsborough. I'm a little less than an hour south of Danville.

I plan doing a little chasing but I think the RDU folks have moved on otherwise. 

[olafminesaw]

Soundings for Guilford county, just north, and just south. Truly could go either way at this point 

[olafminesaw]

A bit of good news, dewpoints running a few degrees lower then forecast this afternoon 

[eyewall]

The Euro looks a little better this run especially of course in southern VA.