WinstonSalemArlington Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 18z GFS is brrrrr... after day 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 17 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z GFS is brrrrr... after day 10 But GFS has been trash so much this year that I need Euro onboard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 12 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: But GFS has been trash so much this year that I need Euro onboard Beyond trash, it’s been absolutely useless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago https://x.com/RealColdRain/status/1987327115432485264?t=YnAHdUtJ1jiwSxkbIsKdpw&s=19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: https://x.com/RealColdRain/status/1987327115432485264?t=YnAHdUtJ1jiwSxkbIsKdpw&s=19 Is that the "real" cold rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago What id give to see that look a month from now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 4 hours ago, franklin NCwx said: Is that the "real" cold rain? And also the real “Rain Cold” as he is also known. Based on ensemble 2 week progs, the -NAO for Nov overall is quite possibly (or even probably) going to end up the strongest in Nov since 2010. 2000 is a Nov strong -NAO, late Nov weak SPV, and active sunspots analog. If the MJO were to keep going and get into 7/8/1/2/3 in Dec, that would also be like 2000. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago 9 minutes ago, BooneWX said: What id give to see that look a month from now I think we will have some through Christmas 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The current and recent KCHS NWS forecasts for KSAV have been for 30 on 11/11 in a windy freeze. If that were to verify, it would be the earliest 30 or colder since way back in 1976! However, latest and recent model consensus is suggesting that 30 is on the low end (Icon). ICON actually warmed some from 27s on Sat runs. Latest ICON/GFS/CMC/Euro/UKMET (through 6Z/0Z 11/9 runs) have 30/32/33/33/34. If this were a radiational cooling night, I’d likely favor the low end per slight warm bias of consensus. But with it being windy, I’m currently thinking near the model avg of 32. However, if the model consensus were to cool, I’d adjust colder. Even just getting to 32 would mean the earliest freeze since 2010! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago There’s a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago RAH talks about the chance of a brief period of snow tomorrow night in latest discussion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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