Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[kvegas-wx]

33 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Record chill possible Wednesday morning at at least 15 sites below 

From Jeff Berardelli

I want to see this in 4 weeks when I know it is here to stay and will only get colder.  End of August is waaay too early to get excited.  October 90s are a thing you know!

[WinstonSalemArlington]

BAM Weather: Cold front train likely to continue through mid September 

 

 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

September 9-22

[WinstonSalemArlington]

An even deeper chill about ten days away?

[NorthHillsWx]

28 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

An even deeper chill about ten days away?

This is incredible. I hope everyone is enjoying this stretch of weather this is a historically cool period in the middle of summer. We may never get an extended BN stretch like this again for this long as so very few have ever happened. RDU hit 90 1 time in August and many areas in our sub forum never touched it and it is continuing into September. This realistically is likely the coolest extended summer period in many of our lifetimes. Not only the peak departures from normal but the duration of BN is what is making this period stand out

[GaWx]

37 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This is incredible. I hope everyone is enjoying this stretch of weather this is a historically cool period in the middle of summer. We may never get an extended BN stretch like this again for this long as so very few have ever happened. RDU hit 90 1 time in August and many areas in our sub forum never touched it and it is continuing into September. This realistically is likely the coolest extended summer period in many of our lifetimes. Not only the peak departures from normal but the duration of BN is what is making this period stand out

Don’t forget that August of 2004 had 2-3 weeks straight of BN.

[SEwakenosnowforu]

20 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Don’t forget that August of 2004 had 2-3 weeks straight of BN.

Uggg...less hope winter does not turn out like the winter following August 2004....Nothing but cold rain and CAD ice (mostly minor). Only real snow was eastern & coastal NC in December.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

What the helly, GFS?!

[NorthHillsWx]

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

Don’t forget that August of 2004 had 2-3 weeks straight of BN.

This is looking like it continues well into September. We’ll see where we end up

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Fall staged a coup on Summer

https://x.com/awxnov/status/1960686926773592376?s=46&t=5ny5bPgiX5Vy3bQMvYTY5g

[WinstonSalemArlington]

You say you want more of this?

[NorthHillsWx]

49 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

You say you want more of this?

The only thing we can complain about if this pattern continues is it could get quite dry this fall again. Storm track well east of us and dry Canadian fronts with no gulf connection. But after getting nearly 20” over last two months I think most in here are fine with a break 

[olafminesaw]

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

The only thing we can complain about if this pattern continues is it could get quite dry this fall again. Storm track well east of us and dry Canadian fronts with no gulf connection. But after getting nearly 20” over last two months I think most in here are fine with a break 

For sure. We do tend to dry out this time of year, but soil moisture went from well above average to slightly below average. Could be some rain next week.

[NorthHillsWx]

Gotta say that seeing the 540 line dig into the lakes states already on models for next week has me excited for fall 

[Cobalt]

On 8/11/2025 at 2:26 PM, olafminesaw said:

We have a legit shot at the coolest August on record

How's this looking? From what I can tell Greensboro is at 74.1F as of August 27th. Looks like the final few days will pull the month incredibly close to Aug '92.

[olafminesaw]

1 hour ago, Cobalt said:

How's this looking? From what I can tell Greensboro is at 74.1F as of August 27th. Looks like the final few days will pull the month incredibly close to Aug '92.

We should fall around 73.4 (based on some rough estimates), which would put us just outside the top 5. What is really impressive is the next lowest of this century is 2013 at 24.7, which ranks 22nd. We did it mostly through high temperatures remaining lower, with no particularly anomalous lows. That's the way to do August!