2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[BarryStantonGBP]

 

[BarryStantonGBP]

Lazza @GaWx from storm2k posted this, quite useful:

 

LarryWx

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Posts: 6504

Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm

Location: GA

Re: 2025 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)

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#808 by LarryWx » Thu Aug 28, 2025 3:37 pm 

Tue’s (8/26/25) Euro Weeklies ACE Sep progs vs very active 20 yr climo:
1-7: 4.5 (0.3)
8-14: 11.3 (0.7)
15-21: 20.4 (1.3)
22-28: 22.4 (1.6)

Today’s (8/28/25) EW ACE progs are less active weeks 2-4 vs the Tue run but still show the same pattern of a relatively quiet first half of Sept and a much more active 2nd half somewhat similar to Sept of 2024:
1-7: 4.5 (0.3)
8-14: 8 (0.5)
15-21: 17 (1.1)
22-28: 20 (1.4)

[GaWx]

My (lazza) Euro Weeklies update

Tue’s (8/26/25) Euro Weeklies ACE Sep progs vs very active 20 yr climo:
1-7: 4.5 (0.3)
8-14: 11.3 (0.7)
15-21: 20.4 (1.3)
22-28: 22.4 (1.6)

Today’s (8/28/25) EW ACE progs are less active weeks 2-4 vs the Tue run but still show the same pattern of a relatively quiet first half of Sept and a much more active 2nd half somewhat similar to Sept of 2024:
1-7: 4.5 (0.3)
8-14: 8 (0.5)
15-21: 17 (1.1)
22-28: 20 (1.4)

[BarryStantonGBP]

Just now, GaWx said:

My (lazzo) Euro Weeklies update

Tue’s (8/26/25) Euro Weeklies ACE Sep progs vs very active 20 yr climo:
1-7: 4.5 (0.3)
8-14: 11.3 (0.7)
15-21: 20.4 (1.3)
22-28: 22.4 (1.6)

Today’s (8/28/25) EW ACE progs are less active weeks 2-4 vs the Tue run but still show the same pattern of a relatively quiet first half of Sept and a much more active 2nd half somewhat similar to Sept of 2024:
1-7: 4.5 (0.3)
8-14: 8 (0.5)
15-21: 17 (1.1)
22-28: 20 (1.4)

Hi Lazza! 

Guess this means the wave off Africa probably might fizzle out and not develop no?