40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: I'd take my chances on a cold Canada. This year Canada was mainly torched so despite having a couple good storm tracks we had crappy airmasses so it was mostly rain. Odds are we will see a flatter Aleutian ridge, which isn't so great. The key in a Modoki La Nina is to keep it weak, which looks unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 I think it's because the way AI works ... It's "processor" happens in layers. Each one passes a probability test before exiting that level. As the 'content' passes through subsequent levels, it gradually filters down to the very best most likely candidate solution - having considered all these tiers of objective reality. This applies to everything from simple question and answering, to the immense problem solving requirements of AI tasking Along the way, one of its challenges is the goal of "simulacra" - the ability to appear as though a given exchange is taking place with an actual consciousness (the ability to "fool" a Turing tester into believing they are communicating with a human). This level uses the Internet as the source, causing that Noah's revenge solution. In listening, reading, ... analyzing billions of conversation modes and models, all at once ... it became like winning the lottery? Even a probability that is based upon a billion deck shoe, someone eventually lands all the numbers and wins. In this case, every rational mode of conversation in the world, happen to be asleep ... with the exception of the overnight American Weather Forums banter. So to the AI ... 300 feet of melted equivalent QPF is entirely reasonable - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 12z ICON likes the 06z GFS solution for this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 10 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: 12z ICON likes the 06z GFS solution for this weekend. What’s was the 06z GFS solution like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: What’s was the 06z GFS solution like? Miserable rain (and a lot of it) for most. Snow and rain in CNE/NNE. Could be a lot of snow for someone in NNE. GFS likes western Maine, ICON likes northern Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 minute ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Miserable rain (and a lot of it) for most. Snow and rain in CNE/NNE. Could be a lot of snow for someone in NNE. GFS likes western Maine, ICON likes northern Maine. Ahhh dam…the misery is upon us I think. Lousy day here…mostly cloudy and cool..44 degrees. Sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ahhh dam…the misery is upon us I think. Lousy day here…mostly cloudy and cool..44 degrees. Sucks. Is this what happened in 2012? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 12z GFS has a 989 low over Dendrite's head at 129 hours, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 12z GFS is a Stowe special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 meh...moving really fast at middling dynamics in those solutions. where ever that snows < 1800' elevation is probably slush glops slipping off bent down pine bows with not much in the roads and silvery see through slushy lawns. probably do okay in the backside/upslope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 44F and cloudy with a breeze. We warned them but they installed and seeded anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 44F and cloudy with a breeze. We warned them but they installed and seeded anyway. They were fooled by the first half…this second half will destroy any hope of a Junior. 32 minutes ago, kdxken said: Is this what happened in 2012? No…not one bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 34 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: 12z GFS is a Stowe special. Congrats PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 55 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ahhh dam…the misery is upon us I think. Lousy day here…mostly cloudy and cool..44 degrees. Sucks. You do realize today is yet another above normal day right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You do realize today is yet another above normal day right? Lol..maybe for the overnight lows…It blows nonetheless. 44-45 degrees and cloudy(very little sun)cool and breezy sucks this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You do realize today is yet another above normal day right? Depends on temp at midnight high is pretty much near normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 temps slowly dropping here-was 50 for the high-down to 46 with wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Depends on temp at midnight high is pretty much near normal Yup. Actually here it’s probably below normal for high temp at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup. Actually here it’s probably below normal for high temp at the moment. Next 7-10 days are garbage before we torch again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup. Actually here it’s probably below normal for high temp at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You do realize today is yet another above normal day right? Torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Torch! When does the snow hit? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Still 49.5 here. Another AN day. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 31 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup. Actually here it’s probably below normal for high temp at the moment. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Euro op gonna lose. We AI. We Skynet. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro op gonna lose. We AI. We Skynet. We Sarah Connor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: When does the snow hit? Where are the 80’s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still 49.5 here. Another AN day. 46 here currently..we below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: 46 here currently..we below. Your high def above. Below normals are terminated like a T-100. Lowered into hot metal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 we laugh ..but, when AI intersects with QC ( quantum computing ) things could get dicey. the easy kill switch is to have an EMP generator on stand-by but still - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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