Damage In Tolland Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, Greg said: Both the Reggie and the GEM have a Canadian warmer bias, this is fairly wildly known. If those models were correct about the Jan 7th storm we had, I would have been rain through most of the storm, which of course I wasn't. My guess is we see the hi res Messenger shuffle east a bit this afternoon as usually happens . Keeping the aloft warming in SE NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 hour ago, fz583 said: I'll be headed to Presque Isle on Saturday, buddy got to camp on Little Madawaska lake last night, he had 12" on the deck, south of there was slim, hopefully this storm evens things out and clubs can connect the dots, have a new Rave 850 staring at me. Ahh very nice. One of my good buds will be picking up the same sled you have when we arrive up in Sinclair/Cross lake soon, at Fort Kent Ski Doo. All 3 of us got new iron for this year. Me and our other buddy both managed to get the 850 MXZ Turbo R Comp…so everybody is excited to get rolling. Hoping they get 6-8” up there, that would probably make things quite good if they pull that off tomorrow/Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fz583 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ahh very nice. One of my good buds will be picking up the same sled you have when we arrive up in Sinclair/Cross lake soon, at Fort Kent Ski Doo. All 3 of us got new iron for this year. Me and our other buddy both managed to get the 850 MXZ Turbo R Comp…so everybody is excited to get rolling. Hoping they get 6-8” up there, that would probably make things quite good if they pull that off tomorrow/Wednesday. Sweet, enjoy that Comp, very nice sled, My stepbrother lives in Caribou, currently looking at the Xterrain at Ft. Kent, maybe we'll see ya out there, most of my group are on Polaris I'm the outcast this yr, sold my '22 XCR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ahh very nice. One of my good buds will be picking up the same sled you have when we arrive up in Sinclair/Cross lake soon, at Fort Kent Ski Doo. All 3 of us got new iron for this year. Me and our other buddy both managed to get the 850 MXZ Turbo R Comp…so everybody is excited to get rolling. Hoping they get 6-8” up there, that would probably make things quite good if they pull that off tomorrow/Wednesday. Is Frank still at Ft Kent Ski doo? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Euro juiced up qpf (warming included) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Is Frank still at Ft Kent Ski doo? He owns it now..has for quite a while now. Nice guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Much of CT? Seems like only SE sections . Unless you’re fully buying Reggie Reggie has barely budged for days (slightly warmer now) while the globals rapidly caved warmer. 12z goofus gives you some zr now. I think I'd lean on you getting at least some ZR, but whatever. It's 2-3" of snow and then at worst a coating of zr. Looks like the euro is coming in warmer aloft too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, WinterWolf said: He owns it now..has for quite a while now. Nice guy. I know he owns it, I bought a sled from him back in 2007, Didn't know if he may have sold it or not, And Yes, Great guy, Went out of his way for me, Long story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, fz583 said: Sweet, enjoy that Comp, very nice sled, My stepbrother lives in Caribou, currently looking at the Xterrain at Ft. Kent, maybe we'll see ya out there, most of my group are on Polaris I'm the outcast this yr, sold my '22 XCR. That’d be fun…all the best. And your Rave’ is gonna be a blast I do think. They’re beautiful too. I’ll look for a bunch of Polaris’s and a Lynx… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Reggie has barely budged for days (slightly warmer now) while the globals rapidly caved warmer. 12z goofus gives you some zr now. I think I'd lean on you getting at least some ZR, but whatever. It's 2-3" of snow and then at worst a coating of zr. Looks like the euro is coming in warmer aloft too. Ticked a bit NW again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, dryslot said: I know he owns it, I bought a sled from him back in 2007, Didn't know if he may have sold it or not, And Yes, Great guy, Went out of his way for me, Long story. Yes he’s still there. Very nice fella for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Maybe take the snowmobile talk to banter? 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 More snow for most too, nice to see. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: Maybe take the snowmobile talk to banter? Definitely, let’s try to keep this on topic 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The 250 mb jet is really far north on the Euro/GFS. The winter storm that had the 850 Mb low cut across SE MA and Boston, and ptype issues thorughout, the jet was like 150 miles southeast of this position... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Definitely, let’s try to keep this on topic Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Maybe take the snowmobile talk to banter? Agreed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Nice stripe over the interior on the euro. Looks a bit like the GFS except maybe a little bit NW. I’d def have an advisory for at least west of 128 in SNE. You’re going to either get 3-5” of snow or get like 2-3” plus some ZR/IP. Either one is going to trigger an advisory. It actually might be more like 3-5” with a touch of ZR at the end with the increasing QPF before the warming aloft makes it inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The precip will outrun the mid level warming, so that's likely the big help (differentiator), accums wise.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 3 minutes ago, WeatherX said: More snow for most too, nice to see. 3-5” is a nice little event. I’ll take that and run for sure. Nice that it’s juicing up as we close in on go time. The terd has been transformed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Reggie has barely budged for days (slightly warmer now) while the globals rapidly caved warmer. 12z goofus gives you some zr now. I think I'd lean on you getting at least some ZR, but whatever. It's 2-3" of snow and then at worst a coating of zr. Looks like the euro is coming in warmer aloft too. I think 3-6” is very likely . Maybe zrdz for an hour or two tomorrow before ending as snow . Nice thump overnight into morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The warm/NW trend likely isn't done, based on the UL jet position. But tricky forecast seeing how far out ahead the precip moves in, before the warming at 850, and below. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: 3-5” is a nice little event. I’ll take that and run for sure. Nice that it’s juicing up as we close in on for time. The terd has been transformed. Huge win if it plays out. Feels like it's been like pulling teeth to get a positive trend closing in for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ticked a bit NW again. Euro cavin' while reggie's ravin'. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Good baseline forecast is the part 1 of the Jan noreaster. Thump 2-4", warm-up/ "dry slot", end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, WeatherX said: Huge win if it plays out. Feels like it's been like pulling teeth to get a positive trend closing in for sure. That’d be nice. I did decently last Sunday, so I can’t really complain, but I know further south didn’t do as well, so hoping this evens it out some for you guys too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 So is this the first real win and good showing from the reggie since the Jan 26-27 2015 score that everyone likes to quote as the last time it was "good"? Storm hasnt played out yet but as far as i can tell the RGEM has been locked for days barely waffling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: That’d be nice. I did decently last Sunday, so I can’t really complain, but I know further south didn’t do as well, so hoping this evens it out some for you guys too. I know what to expect down here, so there won't be any complaining lol. Appreciate the good juju 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: So is this the first real win and good showing from the reggie since the Jan 26-27 2015 score that everyone likes to quote as the last time it was "good"? Storm hasnt played out yet but as far as i can tell the RGEM has been locked for days barely waffling. It’s lead the way all winter . Including the screamers. No idea why it’s been bashed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro cavin' while reggie's ravin'. Reggy Bias 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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