Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[wxsniss]

18z HRRR still very warm at surface though, it's 33-36 for much of ESNE until ~20z

0z NAM thermals is what we want... it's as if all guidance warmed as soon as Pope posted this morning...  I'm hoping we cool back in the 18z suite starting with NAM

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Ya nam is probably gonna look like euro if euro had a big round 1 thumP

most of SNE thumped by 9z

[wx2fish]

Hell of thump on the nam

[dryslot]

Thats a hefty thump

[ineedsnow]

I think the convection on the models was screwing with them.. I said it last night to if it didn't chase it would have been much better.. 

[MuddyWx]

something tells me the NAM is thumpy

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Dry slot to pike by 12z

[ineedsnow]

Beautiful run we take and hope!

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Nammy gonna be a little NW on it’s early pm position I think 

15z slowing just south of islands as it deepens

[dryslot]

Round 2 about ready to take off. SLP 992mb right over ACK

[Damage In Tolland]

That should throw the CCB way west 

[CoastalWx]

Juicy front end but warmer

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That should throw the CCB way west 

And way north 

7H closed of over SNE 

big lift for CNE into NNe and E Ma

[dryslot]

SLP 42/69 986mb

[MuddyWx]

great trends for CNE/NNE last few cycles

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Nam and euro Kuchie looks similar (for CNE/NNE)

nam has much better front end for SNE

[dryslot]

Kuchie for the nam is 12"+ up here and thats' at hr 27, Its still ripping snow

[CoastalWx]

Nam has a great band central VT east to Maine 

[dryslot]

We still have 3 more hrs to go, Wow

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Kuchie for the nam is 12"+ up here and thats' at hr 27, Its still ripping snow

Congrats , that was a nice 9’th inning move on nam/euro 

hopefully nam is right with round 1 bc that was a beast for all of SNE

[CoastalWx]

Wagons north

[dryslot]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Congrats , that was a nice 9’th inning move on nam/euro 

hopefully nam is right with round 1 bc that was a beast for all of SNE

SNE gets rd 1, We get rd 2 on the Nam.

[Prismshine Productions]

9th inning grand salami

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[dryslot]

Just now, Sandstorm94 said:

9th inning grand salami

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Walk off to boot.

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Wagons north

Yup 

higher confidence for that CCB to rake CNE 

maybe also E mass 

Just keep euro out on a island with round 1 

[bristolri_wx]

24 minutes ago, lurker said:

This is what AI was invented for LOL…

[dryslot]

Popes geese are grounded.

[SJonesWX]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We still have 3 more hrs to go, Wow

congrats to the pope on that jackpot

[dryslot]

3k even more impressive

[CoastalWx]

3K looked more tame, but warmer pike south.