hazwoper Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Hoping for 4”. Wouldn’t be at all surprised to only see 2-3”, but feeling good for some reason. Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Hoping for 4”. Wouldn’t be at all surprised to only see 2-3”, but feeling good for some reason. Meh A lot riding on Mt Holly’s ratio rationale….. My reaction to that part of the afternoon AFD…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 11 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: I am out see you for Hurricane Tracking in August! Before I go 29.7f humidity 39% dewpoint 9f pressure 29.92 steady cloudy snowfall so far 0.00" My bar for tomorrow is 4.3" here in Media Delaware County. Start time 4:57 am. Love the precision!! Keep up the great post....winter will return a little sooner than me thinks some folks expect 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 11 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: I am out see you for Hurricane Tracking in August! Before I go 29.7f humidity 39% dewpoint 9f pressure 29.92 steady cloudy snowfall so far 0.00" My bar for tomorrow is 4.3" here in Media Delaware County. Start time 4:57 am. Off to New Zealand eh? Feeling a 6:43 am start time and 2.1" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Off to New Zealand eh? Feeling a 6:43 am start time and 2.1" If I was making a forecast - I like flurries by 1am and 0.3" here in East Nantmeal by 8am with the snow tapering off tomorrow evening after a total snow accumulation of 3.9" here in NW Chesco 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Anyone have a snow map of the 18z Euro? Looks like it ticked south again with the main INVT trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 hour ago, Kevin Reilly said: Anyone have a snow map of the 18z Euro? Looks like it ticked south again with the main INVT trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Yep a tick SSW LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Yep a tick SSW LOL Gonna have to rely on the short-range models now though. The HRRR will become a friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 6 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Gonna have to rely on the short-range models now though. The HRRR will become a friend. or not LOL. I would expect a lot of wiggling around by this band either side of the Mason Dixon Line 15-25 miles north and 15-25 miles south of it either way. I am telling of the Heaviest Axis of snow should there be one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Kevin Reilly said: or not LOL. I would expect a lot of wiggling around by this band either side of the Mason Dixon Line 15-25 miles north and 15-25 miles south of it either way. I am telling of the Heaviest Axis of snow should there be one. Yeah but the HRRR updates every hour so with each run, you have a new chance at winning! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Weak sauce 0z NAM hope it's a trash run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Maybe NAM ingested some bad data or fish or something, convective feedback off shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: Weak sauce 0z NAM hope it's a trash run Huh? Snow map is very similar to 18z. 3km run cut totals very slightly but just minor changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 4 hours ago, LVblizzard said: Huh? Snow map is very similar to 18z. 3km run cut totals very slightly but just minor changes. 0Z NAM similar to 18z with a 0.1" increase actually at KMQS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I am at my low for the day so far (26) where I had a high of 30 (so far) just after midnight. Currently light snow and 26 with dp 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Light Snow 26.4f humidity 99% dewpoint 26f pressure 29.79 wind NE 9 Total Snow so far 1.1" Looking at radar looks like there is a focus with banding just north of the Mason Dixon line down towards Baltimore and west side edging towards DC moving ENE. South of Washington kind of Meh. See how this develops over the next few hours looks like the band is more of a SW to NE orientation at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I am an absolute no nothing, but it looks like you can kind of walk away from model watching for the next 7-10 days before scoping out what is possible in February. Looks warm and rainy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 28 minutes ago, Duca892 said: I am an absolute no nothing, but it looks like you can kind of walk away from model watching for the next 7-10 days before scoping out what is possible in February. Looks warm and rainy. Sounds like it maybe as much as 2-3 weeks We'll burn that bridge when we get to it. All the more reason to enjoy today! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 The winter pause period is now extending through the first week of February, at least. Enjoy the winter you got. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3 hours ago, Duca892 said: I am an absolute no nothing, but it looks like you can kind of walk away from model watching for the next 7-10 days before scoping out what is possible in February. Looks warm and rainy. 2 hours ago, JTA66 said: Sounds like it maybe as much as 2-3 weeks We'll burn that bridge when we get to it. All the more reason to enjoy today! GEFS and GEPS and EPS to a degree all have a small window around the 29th with a system tracking under us. Problem is antecedent airmass may not be too favorable. CMC and GFS op are close to something. Looks like a spring storm with higher elevations favored. Looking out into fantasy land, weird to keep seeing something consistently popping up on the super extended stuff centered around Presidents Day. Big ones sniffed out early? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 7 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GEFS and GEPS and EPS to a degree all have a small window around the 29th with a system tracking under us. Problem is antecedent airmass may not be too favorable. CMC and GFS op are close to something. Looks like a spring storm with higher elevations favored. Looking out into fantasy land, weird to keep seeing something consistently popping up on the super extended stuff centered around Presidents Day. Big ones sniffed out early? Don't they normally tend to trend North as the date gets closer? ...Roll out the hot dog cart. Suppression at this range isn't super concerning- something to keep an eye on certainly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 14F/Clear, crisp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 16 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GEFS and GEPS and EPS to a degree all have a small window around the 29th with a system tracking under us. Problem is antecedent airmass may not be too favorable. CMC and GFS op are close to something. Looks like a spring storm with higher elevations favored. Looking out into fantasy land, weird to keep seeing something consistently popping up on the super extended stuff centered around Presidents Day. Big ones sniffed out early? As if right on Que the 6z GFS pops a weird looking storm that hits us with some snow but demolished up north around the exact same time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 It's a winter wonderland out there this morning. Beautiful. Had a low 16.4F. Currently 19. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 If we’re not going to have a HECS, the very least I want is the grass covered. Mission accomplished! 18F/DP 10F 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 13.5 for the low this AM. Areas of blowing snow which could cause some of the rural roads near open fields across the area to get recovered with snow. Winds will increase this PM and it will be very cold with high temps in the low 20's. Tomorrow will also be below freezing marking our 7th straight day we have failed to pass the freezing mark. The good news is Monday we will approach or maybe in some areas climb to just above freezing. We should then see milder temps with highs in the 40's for the rest of the week with rain chances almost every day starting Tuesday night. Records for today: High 67 (1951) / Low minus 8 (1984) / Rain 2.18" (1979) / Snow 5.5" (2000). Of note yesterday January 19th back in 1994 was the only day in recorded Chester County weather history that the temperature failed to get above zero for the day. The high was 1 below zero with a low of 11 below zero. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Bottomed out at 17 this morning and did the initial car clearing. Thankfully that was some powdery stuff (compared to the powder from the earlier storm that had a 1/4" crust of ice on it ), so was able to clear most of it pretty quickly. The winds have picked up so the snow is now blowing around. Currently a sunny but chilly 21 with dp 10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Shot this quick video early this morning. My hands were numb, I crashed my drone, but it was beautiful out. lol 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, BBasile said: Shot this quick video early this morning. My hands were numb, I crashed my drone, but it was beautiful out. lol You picture taking/video and drone footage shots are horrible...you should work on it and step up your game. 21F/breezy, windy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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