Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,508
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    joxey
    Newest Member
    joxey
    Joined

January 15-16 2023 Storm Potential


Baroclinic Zone
 Share

Recommended Posts

Forecast soundings were showing rolling waves of lift in the DGZ, so a ragged radar does not surprise me one bit. This band more or less should hold together through 1 to 4 AM, so once the sun lowers in the sky snow will start to stick more readily. 

It really is a perfect storm for things models handle poorly. They don't do well estimating QPF when there is dry air aloft. They don't do well estimating snowfall in marginal environments. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, OceanStWx said:

Forecast soundings were showing rolling waves of lift in the DGZ, so a ragged radar does not surprise me one bit. This band more or less should hold together through 1 to 4 AM, so once the sun lowers in the sky snow will start to stick more readily. 

It really is a perfect storm for things models handle poorly. They don't do well estimating QPF when there is dry air aloft. They don't do well estimating snowfall in marginal environments. 

Felt this way for days.  Been trying to be optimistic like @WinterWolf wants me to be.  I feel icky now.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...