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MO/KS/AR/OK 2022-2023 Winter Discussion


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Well overall kind of underwhelming, considering folks near by received a very pretty 1-2in of snow. At my place specifically, I managed to pick up a trace and did see flakes fall for the first time. For the 2nd time in 3 years it's snowed before Thanksgiving. I'm not hating the pattern thus far this fall, as there as there are signs we're putting a dent in the drought but a long way to go. We'll see if it continues. Don't see any significant precip as of now through Thanksgiving, but temps look to stay well below normal for the next week.  

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1 hour ago, RocketWX said:

Well overall kind of underwhelming, considering folks near by received a very pretty 1-2in of snow. At my place specifically, I managed to pick up a trace and did see flakes fall for the first time. For the 2nd time in 3 years it's snowed before Thanksgiving. I'm not hating the pattern thus far this fall, as there as there are signs we're putting a dent in the drought but a long way to go. We'll see if it continues. Don't see any significant precip as of now through Thanksgiving, but temps look to stay well below normal for the next week.  

Models have had a signal for some type of storm system around Thanksgiving. 12z GFS/GEM going with a cutoff of sorts developing...somewhere. 00z Euro was more progressive with it. 

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Still watching for some flurries tomorrow with the next cold front (mostly KS/MO). Probably going to warm back up after this weekend though. Still watching a storm system around Thanksgiving but the models have been all over the place with that and subsequently the long range is in question as well. 

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Man, that Thanksgiving storm has been all over the place. Such large run to run changes with the models over the past week. They finally decided on the cutoff solution. It's going to get real interesting as we get into early Dec as there's a lot of Arctic air at the surface sitting to our north, if it comes farther south than forecast than we could be in for some icy conditions with a SW flow aloft. 

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