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NWAflizzard

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Everything posted by NWAflizzard

  1. NWAflizzard
    Man. I really want to be inspiring at this point. But after the last 24 hours of model mayhem I’ve become comfortably numb. But I will say this, I think this is a really complex system that has caused the models a lot of trouble and we have the benefit of high ratios. I think we will get a nice snow to look at just not the big storm we were expecting from a few days ago. Go team!
  2. NWAflizzard
    GFS needs to quit playing games with my heart. It can’t cave to the Euro like that then come back and give me hope.
  3. NWAflizzard
    Yep. Looks a lot like its 18z run yesterday. Even has that second little system that swings through after the main wave.
  4. NWAflizzard
    To me the GFS appeared to take a step toward the Euro’s 12z run. Who knows what the Canadian was thinking. I guess it wanted to shut down central Arkansas for a couple of weeks.
  5. NWAflizzard
    Need a slight northwest trend from his friend from Canada. Either way I’m not complaining. GEM totals are crazy when you think about the possibility of 20:1 ratios.
  6. NWAflizzard
    That is some cold air that snow will be falling into on Monday morning according to the 18z GFS.
  7. NWAflizzard
    It’s so nice to know other people go through this. Most people just don’t understand weather model addiction. The worst part is when someone wants to make small talk about the weather and I want to do a frame by frame breakdown of why everything they just said was completely incorrect.
  8. NWAflizzard
    12z GFS for the win on Friday for nwa. My goodness!
  9. NWAflizzard
    I would say about an inch here just north of Pea Ridge. I think Fayetteville was the big winner with this. Heard 49 south of Fayetteville is a mess.
  10. NWAflizzard
    The GFS has storm after storm coming through our area. Canadian doesn’t look bad either. Looks like an exciting next couple of weeks.
  11. NWAflizzard
    Well the 00z GFS at hour 162 is certainly something.
  12. NWAflizzard
    I just checked the GFS after reading your post. Yeah. I say we lock that storm in. Gives me a little over 2 feet of snow. I could use a few weeks off work.
  13. NWAflizzard
    00z GEM with something similar at that time as well.
  14. NWAflizzard
    18z GFS for the win especially over northern Arkansas and southern Missouri for the March 3 system.
  15. NWAflizzard
    Sorry to hear about your power. Safe to say that if the euro verifies for next week there may be more power issues. I love winter weather but I am not sure I want an ice storm.
  16. NWAflizzard
    Haha. My bad stormdragonwx. Also thought that this chart was interesting. Not often you see a greater than 50 percent probability for greater than 8 inches of snow for our area.
  17. NWAflizzard
    Winter storm warning issued for North west Arkansas and Tulsa was added to the winter storm watch.
  18. NWAflizzard
    Is your power still out?
  19. NWAflizzard
    I could be wrong but I don’t think I have ever seen Tulsa issue a snow squall warning before. Shows just how strong this system is.
  20. NWAflizzard
    Cold front has moved through here in NW Arkansas. Temperature falling quickly.
  21. NWAflizzard
    Winter weather advisory issued for Northwest Arkansas. Our forecast calls for 1-3 inches. The advisory says that near blizzard like conditions will briefly be possible behind the front: ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near blizzard like conditions will briefly be possible behind the front with greatly reduced visibilities.
  22. NWAflizzard
    Snow totals appear to have ticked up on the Canadian.
  23. NWAflizzard
    I remember that too. And I think it was like the next model run right after they issued the wsw that showed all was not going to plan.
  24. NWAflizzard
    Lock it in:
  25. NWAflizzard
    Yeah. Nice GFS run compared to this morning. Canadian had a snowier solution too. Need to check the ensembles and see if they are looking more promising. Thanks stormdragon for that link. White Christmas would be great.
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