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Everything posted by Doramo

  1. 43 days for south central/southwest Missouri is way off . Here in Ozark county / southern Mo., has not hat a Winter Storm Warning the last two yrs or so .
  2. Well the temp here is 28 and I hope it holds to at or below the freezing mark . That and it would be nice to see the low go a little farther south ...don't like freezing mix slop as we have had enough of it already .
  3. Light freezing rain occurring here so far
  4. Got huge 2" of snow ...I am grateful that we got that much and wished that all members would have got some .
  5. It has been 32 all day here with light freezing rain so far . The trees and bushes are glistening with ice and small ice cycles .
  6. When I see it ---- then I will believe it .
  7. The models are pushing this farther south of which I hope it readjusts back toward the north . https://forecast.weather.gov/ DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Light snow may be possible Wednesday night into Thursday night. There remains uncertainty on the exact track of this system, so there are questions on how much of the area will be affected. At this time far southern Missouri will have the better potential for seeing any snow across the outlook area.
  8. Huh? One would think with the forecast being only two days away things would come to a settled prediction but ? NWS Springfield,MO "Interesting forecast ahead as models continue their differing run to run solutions with the approach of the upper closed low tracking through the Southern Plains. Ah what a difference 12 hours makes. The 12z NAM offered continuity with the 00z ECMWF initially offering a boost in confident...then the 12z ECMWF came into line with the previously outlier GFS...which now leaves the NAM as the outlier which offered a solution that coupled the upper level jets associated with the approaching upper low and shortwave over the Great Lakes occurs. While the juxtaposition isn`t ideal...the ageostrophic flow enhances lift throughout the column particularly above 700 MB and enhances frontogenesis. Further the NAM shows a response in the low levels with a significant surge in the low level moisture advection as the system approaches the forecast area. This is all while sub freezing temperatures arrives with this system ...resulting in a concerning amount of freezing rain. Again while this would lead to a greater impact and still needs to be monitored...the evolving model solutions have largely come in line with the 00z GFS in tracking the system well southward... reducing accumulations of a wintry mix on Wednesday night/Thursday. However...this solution leads to wraparound lift on the back side of the system and the development of snow accumulations into Friday. I must suggest caution in this deterministic determination as later runs will be critical in determining the temperature profile of the lower atmosphere."
  9. Not much being said at NWS Springfield for my area,, just this: A light wintry mix will fall from Wednesday night into Friday morning...with the precipitation changing over to rain for a period Thursday. At 80% chance for slop . Still have time for significant changes (for the better I Hope)
  10. The pattern is fixing to change for the better
  11. Merry Christmas Y'all Maybe snow by the 30th (?????) is showing up on the local online forecasts . To me, just a mention of snow gives me hope and is much better than no mention at all like it has been lately .
  12. 18 run Nam 54hr shows freezing rain for NW Ark and southern Mo...yuck! http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getptype.cgi?region=us&model=nam&run=18&fhr=18&field=ptype
  13. With this event in limbo,(Not over till the fat lady sings) how about the chances of snow on the 11th?
  14. weather.gov National Weather Service Watches, Warnings & Advisories Go to the NOAA Homepage NWS Homepage Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code City, St One product issued by NWS for: Dora MO Share | Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Springfield MO 348 AM CST Thu Dec 6 2018 ...Winter Storm Possible for far Southern Missouri... MOZ093-095>097-101>106-070000- /O.NEW.KSGF.WS.A.0001.181208T0600Z-181209T1200Z/ Newton-Christian-Douglas-Howell-McDonald-Barry-Stone-Taney-Ozark- Oregon- Including the cities of Neosho, Nixa, Christian Center, Ozark, Selmore, Vanzant, Ava, Goodhope, Rome, Squires, Dogwood, Pomona, Pottersville, Siloam Springs, South Fork, West Plains, White Church, Anderson, Noel, Goodman, South West City, Pineville, Rocky Comfort, Monett, Madry, Cassville, Kimberling City, Crane, Elsey, Indian Point, Silver Dollar City, Branson, Hollister, Kirbyville, Edgewater Beach, Forsyth, Ozark Beach, Powersite, Wasola, Thayer, Alton, Couch, Greer, Thomasville, and Wilderness 348 AM CST Thu Dec 6 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible with some mixed precipitation. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. * WHERE...Along and south of a Neosho to Ava to Alton, Missouri line. * WHEN...From late Friday night through late Saturday night. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$ Schaumann U.S. Dept. of Commerce NOAA National Weather Service 1325 East West Highway Silver Spring, MD 20910 E-mail: [email protected] Page last modified: May 16, 2007 Disclaimer Credits Glossary Privacy Policy About Us Career Opportunities NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE
  15. Right in the heart of no winter storm warnings The only area that has more days of lack is southern Louisiana (edit I over looked Northern Texas ). This miserable record has got to be broken soon .
  16. Nice Blocking but not good for polar fronts..... Got about 2" of snow last night . Enough to make it look pretty . I hope this is just the snowy preliminary for this coming winter
  17. It is currently snowing lightly..ground is beginning to turn white...two snows before turkey day? I like it! I don't think it will amount to much . The a winter weather advisory has been posted - 1-4 inches of snow possible . ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow is expected with a total snow accumulation of 1 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central and southwest Missouri. The highest snowfall rates are expected between midnight and 8 am. The heaviest snow is expected in the Rolla and Salem areas with lesser amounts elsewhere.
  18. A few flurries and some radar snow that's not reaching the ground so far .
  19. Got to see some nice flakes but it only amounted to a dusting . Being this is still early season I consider it to be a bonus snow