Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Man, it is brutal out. 23 degrees and a wind chill around 7-8. Yet, the snow left on my driveway from the blowing/drifting is still melting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Man, it is brutal out. 23 degrees and a wind chill around 7-8. Yet, the snow left on my driveway from the blowing/drifting is still melting Disappointed in the staying power of last week's snowfall. Not surprised at the melting today, I've seen snow routinely melt in the sun once the temp gets to about 15. From there up, she'll melt some. Especially if it's not icy. I always chuckle when it's sunny and 30 and people say that the snow isn't going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Disappointed in the staying power of last week's snowfall. Not surprised at the melting today, I've seen snow routinely melt in the sun once the temp gets to about 15. From there up, she'll melt some. Especially if it's not icy. I always chuckle when it's sunny and 30 and people say that the snow isn't going anywhere. The snow would also still decrease some just from normal wind derived evap. Just surprised to see liquid water running down my driveway when it is 23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Man, they are playing the SEC Championship game late this year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Eagles...I don't know what to think. They should be one and done but they're playing very well going into the playoffs. The thing I admire (and honestly am jealous of) is they can run the hell out of the ball. I feel like they're sort of built for the postseason and Tampa better be ready because Philly could take them out. Brady beats them by 14 easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 49ers cowboys is actual intriguing game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: 49ers cowboys is actual intriguing game. You mean the game in which no one shall speak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Thakara says weekend storm whiff to the south so we still have a chance (probably right though). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 13 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Brady beats them by 14 easy. Bulletin board material! (sort of hope you're right) BTW) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You mean the game in which no one shall speak? I thought it was already stated in here that Dallas was done this weekend? Didn't I read that this past Saturday evening? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 5 minutes ago, Festus said: Thakara says weekend storm whiff to the south so we still have a chance (probably right though). SE forum is starting the December 2918 talk. (that storm dropped a couple of feet in the mountains of SW VA and NC) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 22 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: SE forum is starting the December 2918 talk. (that storm dropped a couple of feet in the mountains of SW VA and NC) I wonder what the weather forecast was back then (or in the future? LOL.) Lots of people probably thought the word was coming to an end and it would never stop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 12Z Euro as we enter our critical period start next weekend. Interesting NA look with the 'Cane and a total of 12 identified areas of low pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I wonder what the weather forecast was back then (or in the future? LOL.) Lots of people probably thought the word was coming to an end and it would never stop. I was like...why is he responding to my post like this? LOL How about...2018. (My wife was in Boone, NC during the storm and met Jim Cantore) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I was like...why is he responding to my post like this? LOL How about...2018. (My wife was in Boone, NC during the storm and met Jim Cantore) I actually thought you meant 1918 as that is the year of the extreme winter where the Mid South had lows in the -20's. I did not look up any specific snows that winter though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Wow, the 12Z Euro Op is a total snooze through 200. Upper Mid West "clipper" starts to dig a bit late this weekend but very progressive dig as it heads for Florida. But high and dry for 8 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Euro looks super duper boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Euro looks super duper boring. Hug the ensembles and remember that it will change in 6 hours. :-). But model breakdown wise, the Euro is a punt of the middle of winter for snow lovers. Not only is it boring, there is no sign of anything at day 10. The low shown in the south has no realistic path to move up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Hug the ensembles and remember that it will change in 6 hours. :-). But model breakdown wise, the Euro is a punt of the middle of winter for snow lovers. Not only is it boring, there is no sign of anything at day 10. The low shown in the south has no realistic path to move up. That big ocean storm screwing things up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 In my experience, we often get long range outlooks in winter that look super dry and boring, and usually the ground truth is quite a bit different. What I am trying to say is I will take the cold and let the pattern develop. If we have a cold pattern, the snow will come. Maybe not a big storm, but we will get events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: December 2918 talk I will be 933 years old. I hope I'm around for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 13 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I will be 933 years old. I hope I'm around for it. I'm too old now to figure out how old I'll be then. I just know that I'll be waiting for the Orioles to be relevant and for the Process to be completed then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 14 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I will be 933 years old. I hope I'm around for it. Me too. But by then, NC will be like Central America so if they have 2 feet of snow it would be quite the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm too old now to figure out how old I'll be then. I just know that I'll be waiting for the Orioles to be relevant and for the Process to be completed then. And the Steelers might finally be on the verge of finding their next franchise QB after Ben. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, TimB84 said: And the Steelers might finally be on the verge of finding their next franchise QB after Ben. Yet, they would have been .500 or higher 850 out of the last 896 seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 MU update: As the Arctic high pressure system moves off to our east and a Clipper-like system tracks across southeastern Canada, more seasonably chilly air will return for Wednesday and Thursday. However, I see signs that the pattern may become increasingly more favorable for potential snow and wintry weather in the East between ~ January 15-25. A bulge northward in the Jet Stream across western North America may occur in conjunction with the return of Greenland blocking. By January 19 or 20, that blocking may very well become centered just to the south and west of Greenland -- a classic "west-based," negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). As I've explained in previous discussions, this Jet Stream configuration is a "snow-lovers dream" and often present leading up to and during major winter storms in the mid-Atlantic. However, here's a word of caution. Even if this pattern does come to fruition, it doesn't guarantee that we'll receive a moderate or major snowstorm. I've seen several instances where snow has failed to occur in this favorable setup. The probability increases, but we're still just talking about a word that nobody has ever shoveled -- "potential." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, TimB84 said: And the Steelers might finally be on the verge of finding their next franchise QB after Ben. Only if they save face and go 2-15 some season. Just now, Bubbler86 said: Yet, they would have been .500 or higher 800 out of the last 896 seasons. And that's the problem right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU update: As the Arctic high pressure system moves off to our east and a Clipper-like system tracks across southeastern Canada, more seasonably chilly air will return for Wednesday and Thursday. However, I see signs that the pattern may become increasingly more favorable for potential snow and wintry weather in the East between ~ January 15-25. A bulge northward in the Jet Stream across western North America may occur in conjunction with the return of Greenland blocking. By January 19 or 20, that blocking may very well become centered just to the south and west of Greenland -- a classic "west-based," negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). As I've explained in previous discussions, this Jet Stream configuration is a "snow-lovers dream" and often present leading up to and during major winter storms in the mid-Atlantic. However, here's a word of caution. Even if this pattern does come to fruition, it doesn't guarantee that we'll receive a moderate or major snowstorm. I've seen several instances where snow has failed to occur in this favorable setup. The probability increases, but we're still just talking about a word that nobody has ever shoveled -- "potential." He has a lot of the key weenie phrases down. Re: Shoveling potential. He probably typed snow weenies dream in their first iteration of this update but an editor made him change it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: He has a lot of the key weenie phrases down. Re: Shoveling potential. He probably typed snow weenies dream in their first iteration of this update but an editor made him change it up. Probably right. I posted that just to remind all of us that while the pattern is really good, it's not a guarantee for anything. I think it was after the twin blizzards in Feb 2010 that the pattern thereafter was epic, and there was talk of more blizzards to follow. And while northeast of here got a good storm near the end of the month, that epic pattern produced very little here after Feb. 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 18 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Probably right. I posted that just to remind all of us that while the pattern is really good, it's not a guarantee for anything. I think it was after the twin blizzards in Feb 2010 that the pattern thereafter was epic, and there was talk of more blizzards to follow. And while northeast of here got a good storm near the end of the month, that epic pattern produced very little here after Feb. 10th. Anyone posting that we WILL get a lot of snow or something DEFINTELY is going to happen, probably needs your lesson :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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