MJO812 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 So boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 5 hours ago, LibertyBell said: How is Alaska breaking heat records? I thought thats where all the cold air was but I see it's historic heat over there now too? The extreme cold shifted eastward into western Canada and the Pacific Northwest for a time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 14 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Everyone had a meltdown when I mentioned CC in the New England forum. I don't understand why it's so triggering to people and how is a scientific fact political. It's like saying 2+2=4 is controversial. But you can't ignore it. We are crushing past records. The reaction to the mention of climate change should not draw negative reactions. Climate change is now well-established scientific theory ("established fact" as the IPCC's technical report termed it). It is not political. Weather events and climate change are inseparable, as synoptic patterns are occurring within the context of increasing greenhouse gas forcing on SSTAs, Arctic ice, etc. Taking consideration of climate change is now essential to understanding the evolution of weather events. Climate change-driven events ranging from the effects of Arctic Amplification to marine heatwaves impact synoptic patterns. "Stuck" patterns or long-duration resonance events have become more frequent (December 2015 in the East, Summer 2021 in parts of the West, and December 2021 in the South provide some examples). Heat has become more frequent, more widespread, and more intense. Severe cold can still occur, but such outbreaks have become somewhat less frequent, less widespread, and less intense. Ignoring climate change and its impacts can lead to bad subseasonal forecasts (often frequent strong cold biases). Reliance on past analogs while ignoring such variables as marine heatwaves and their impact on tropical convection (and through convection on the larger hemispheric pattern) can lead to errors that might otherwise be avoidable when the fuller context of what's driving synoptic patterns is considered. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Galveston has now recorded its 15th record-tying or breaking high temperature this month. Galveston is also on track to register its 7th consecutive record high minimum temperature. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 4 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: The reaction to the mention of climate change should not draw negative reactions. Climate change is now well-established scientific theory ("established fact" as the IPCC's technical report termed it). It is not political. Weather events and climate change are inseparable, as synoptic patterns are occurring within the context of increasing greenhouse gas forcing on SSTAs, Arctic ice, etc. Taking consideration of climate change is now essential to understanding the evolution of weather events. Climate change-driven events ranging from the effects of Arctic Amplification to marine heatwaves impact synoptic patterns. "Stuck" patterns or long-duration resonance events have become more frequent (December 2015 in the East, Summer 2021 in parts of the West, and December 2021 in the South provide some examples). Heat has become more frequent, more widespread, and more intense. Severe cold can still occur, but such outbreaks have become somewhat less frequent, less widespread, and less intense. Ignoring climate change and its impacts can lead to bad subseasonal forecasts (often frequent strong cold biases). Reliance on past analogs while ignoring such variables as marine heatwaves and their impact on tropical convection (and through convection on the larger hemispheric pattern) can lead to errors that might otherwise be avoidable when the fuller context of what's driving synoptic patterns is considered. How much has CC influenced our current weather vs a regular -PNA pattern.....notice how the Pac NW is getting so much snow. How would our climate have been in December if there were no CC? I know we model different CC scenarios but do we also model what our climate would be like without any CC? Human influenced that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 society needs to be run by artificial intelligence take faulty human minds completely out of the equation. The movies where this management structure occurs generally do not end well . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said: How much has CC influenced our current weather vs a regular -PNA pattern.....notice how the Pac NW is getting so much snow. How would our climate have been in December if there were no CC? I know we model different CC scenarios but do we also model what our climate would be like without any CC? Human influenced that is. Without running the climate models, it’s difficult to know. Given what has been established from past attribution studies—longer and more intense patterns—it is likely that December would have been cooler than it will wind up being. With a consistent AO- pattern (but less negative than it has been) during the second half of the month and a reduced SE ridge (due to a weaker PNA-), there may have been more opportunities for snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 3 hours ago, North and West said: The movies where this management structure occurs generally do not end well . lol yea, but did you see this....everyone I sent this to thinks it's pretty cool he was able to extend his life this way: https://twitter.com/i/events/1476316938984779776 Meet Dr. Scott-Morgan, the world's most advanced cyborg After being diagnosed with ALS, scientist Dr. Peter Scott-Morgan underwent radical surgeries and cybernetic implementations, pushing the boundaries of what it means to be human. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Dry conditions and very strong winds culminated with a disastrous wildfire in Colorado yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 2 hours ago, EasternLI said: Dry conditions and very strong winds culminated with a disastrous wildfire in Colorado yesterday. Some of the videos are so awful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Just now, Rjay said: Some of the videos are so awful. Yeah, that was insanity over there. Firestorms are utterly horrible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Anyway, this snowless early winter is good for my work which is bridge and guide rail inspection for Sussex County in extreme nw NJ. No snow on the ground is best, for easier access/viewing/documenting conditions bridge and guiderails. This coming week, barring the unforeseen, I should be able to complete one project- the inspection of 492 County bridges and adding guide rail to the GIS database where it's not already documented. Once complete (I hope this week- good 4-5G WIFI helps complete the work rapidly for on-line access), then I move on to updating all the inventory where GuideRail was replaced in 2021 (taking it out of the red = need to done, to green = this is undamaged). In our County, it costs about $31/foot of Guiderail and when you hit those ends with the nice yellow-black object markers, its about $3500. (Costs can vary depending on market). Those guide rails, no one thinks about, but they are constantly saving lives via embankment tumbles, returning vehicles to the highway When folks spin out-bounce off and go merrily on their way with some damage their vehicle, little do they think--- thanks for the guide rail. So there is benefit for a few of us. Have a day! Walt 1020A/31 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Record highs are again tumbling in the South. As of 12 pm EST, Baton Rouge, Galveston, and Pensacola have all set daily record high temperatures. Galveston has had 15 daily record highs and 1 record-tying high. One of those high temperatures set a new December record. 24 of December’s 31 days saw their 1st, 2nd, or 3rd warmest high temperatures for those days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 sun was so bright this morning and warm it felt like april.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maureen Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 4 hours ago, wdrag said: Have a day Walt, I don’t know if there was a word deliberately missing from the above or not, but man does it fit! To all, here’s hoping for better days ahead in 2022, cheers! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 44 minutes ago, Maureen said: Walt, I don’t know if there was a word deliberately missing from the above or not, but man does it fit! To all, here’s hoping for better days ahead in 2022, cheers! No, no word missing. Typically nice to wish all a good day, but I know some might not like that. What I do know, is that I want to be back tomorrow... to do that, I have to have some sort of day. Most days are very good...we are blessed. Happy New Year to all! Walt 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 RIP Betty White 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 December in Galveston: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 2 hours ago, psv88 said: RIP Betty White She would've been 100 on Jan 17 Now she'll celebrate her centennial with the angels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 December in Houston: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 Happy New Year! 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Happy New Year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 A selection of December monthly records: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 feels humid today .. reminds me of the days of summer... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 13 hours ago, nycwinter said: feels humid today .. reminds me of the days of summer... with all this rain? screw that, 70 and sunny would be much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: with all this rain? screw that, 70 and sunny would be much better 35 and dry with a brisk wind i would enjoy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 ATTN: RJAY I am trying to renew my subscription, but keep receiving error messages. I suspect it has to do with my credit card being on file and my trying to use the updated on with a later expiration date. Please advise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: ATTN: RJAY I am trying to renew my subscription, but keep receiving error messages. I suspect it has to do with my credit card being on file and my trying to use the updated on with a later expiration date. Please advise. On it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Rjay said: On it Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Antonio Brown rage quitting the NFL made my day. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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