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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas


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Just now, MJO812 said:

Teleconnectios on the gefs have the epo trending in our favor.  EPS turned colder until the end of the run.  

People were afraid about the warmth early December . Now we are tracking snow and cold in early December .

I think there is truth to the EPS unfortunately. Hopefully it starts to reverse a bit.

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What is funny is, last Sunday after the gathering in Worcester, some of us thought the pattern looked like crap/boring/nothing going on, because it pretty much did back on Sunday, with most folks saying it’s a snooze fest for two weeks at least lol.  
 

Then all of a sudden…here comes the Euro OP on Monday at 12z, and that was the end of that. From snooze fest for two weeks, close the shades until after the first week of December, to tracking the first potential for widespread winter weather.  My how that changed in very short order.    This look will change too being 15 days from now.  
 

Im Not putting too much stock in that 15 day EPS prog at the moment.  But that’s just me.  Gonna enjoy whatever we have coming for Sunday night/Monday, and then we’ll see where we are headed after that moves through. 

 

 

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9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

What is funny is, last Sunday after the gathering in Worcester, some of us thought the pattern looked like crap/boring/nothing going on, because it pretty much did back on Sunday, with most folks saying it’s a snooze fest for two weeks at least lol.  
 

Then all of a sudden…here comes the Euro OP on Monday at 12z, and that was the end of that. From snooze fest for two weeks, close the shades until after the first week of December, to tracking the first potential for widespread winter weather.  My how that changed in very short order.    This look will change too being 15 days from now.  
 

Im Not putting too much stock in that 15 day EPS prog at the moment.  But that’s just me.  Gonna enjoy whatever we have coming for Sunday night/Monday, and then we’ll see where we are headed after that moves through. 

 

 

 

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5 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Death Star

 

D8D408C4-2782-4578-A370-72E2E38932FE.png

It's been at the very end of the Euro Ensembles three runs in a row up hasn't moved up in time. It was mentioned that the GEPS has also supporting Euro Ensembles but the last run has been backing away from a full blown torch. The GEFS keeps getting colder in the long range. 

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