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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat


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2 hours ago, magpiemaniac said:

Looking at your house on the latest model run map and saying this isn’t going to be a serious event does everyone else a disservice.  This thread covers a lot of territory.  Some will get a cold rain.  Others could be without power for two or three days.  We have people reading this thread who don’t post, but would like get a sense of what might be coming.

Then there are those of us who just have to walk a few feet to escape winter’s wrath.  Since the county line runs right through my house I have a Winter Storm Watch in my garage, dining room and den but the rest of the house is in the non-event zone.  I guess I should be thankful that I will only have to worry about the trees on the northern part of my property.  :rolleyes:

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Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

Significantly colder than 00z for sure

I am still holding out (some) hope that sleet will save me at my location at least to some degree.  But little doubt there will be a sizable chunk of real estate with ZR issues.  Seeing models trend colder does not hurt my feelings one bit!

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Just now, CentralNC said:

I am still holding out (some) hope that sleet will save me at my location at least to some degree.  But little doubt there will be a sizable chunk of real estate with ZR issues.  Seeing models trend colder does not hurt my feelings one bit!

Be careful what you wish for. The coldest freezing rain event I have ever been in was 19º at its peak.

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Just now, jburns said:

Be careful what you wish for. The coldest freezing rain event I have ever been in was 19º at its peak.

Friend in Columbus Ohio just had freezing rain and 17 degrees while just a day earlier they’d expected all snow. Thankfully it switched over to mostly sleet but it did rain well into the teens...

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16 minutes ago, CentralNC said:

I am still holding out (some) hope that sleet will save me at my location at least to some degree.  But little doubt there will be a sizable chunk of real estate with ZR issues.  Seeing models trend colder does not hurt my feelings one bit!

Outside the 1st hour, I hate to say it, but you , alot of us can forget sleet. Unless the warm nose shrinks. right now on soundings its slam dunk frzng rn.

This is as close as I can find, off anadian close to your area:

gdps_2021021612_054_36.0--80.1.png

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26 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

Outside the 1st hour, I hate to say it, but you , alot of us can forget sleet. Unless the warm nose shrinks. right now on soundings its slam dunk frzng rn.

This is as close as I can find, off anadian close to your area:

 

Totally agree. Unless we correct by 7-8 degrees most places, any sleet at all is totally off the table.

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4 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

Totally agree. Unless we correct by 7-8 degrees most places, any sleet at all is totally off the table.

Looking hard to avoid a damaging ice storm for the triad and SW Va at this juncture. Potentially a devastating ice storm for some areas. For points S and E it looks to be nuisance to moderate but as always it will be an extremely tight gradient between damaging and nothing. 

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Long time follower of these events and most have fallen apart on us, with that being said would yall cancel a training for people driving to Durham from the triad and Triangle for thursday and Friday.  I have to decide today to prevent any charges for cancellations.

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EURO was definitely cooler for almost all areas from 0z. One thing to note is timing of precip on Thursday means much will fall in daylight. EURO seems to notice that and nips the 32 line but brings it right back after 18z. Daylight and sun angle may help some of the marginal areas during this event 

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