Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    16,923
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    yiuyiuya
    Newest Member
    yiuyiuya
    Joined

Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2


Recommended Posts

I found this to be interesting from an Accuwether article this morning.

"Already 73.2% of the lower 48 U.S. is covered in snow and we will build on the existing amount of snow on the ground with this next storm," Rayno said.

Since snow cover began being tracked regularly in 2003, this is the highest percentage of the contiguous 48 states to be covered by snow. The old record was 70.9% on Jan. 12, 2011.“

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I found this to be interesting from an Accuwether article this morning.

"Already 73.2% of the lower 48 U.S. is covered in snow and we will build on the existing amount of snow on the ground with this next storm," Rayno said.

Since snow cover began being tracked regularly in 2003, this is the highest percentage of the contiguous 48 states to be covered by snow. The old record was 70.9% on Jan. 12, 2011.“

Static map

Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Here is the updated CTP “Expected” snow map.

 

F0D26119-E117-430D-B080-145D71A60B26.png

Definitely anticipating that axis to shift NW by a good bit over the next 24 hours. Climo starting to flex its muscle again. 

 

I'll be happy with 4" in Gap, hopefully it can survive to the weekend for sledding with the kids. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Definitely anticipating that axis to shift NW by a good bit over the next 24 hours. Climo starting to flex its muscle again. 
 
I'll be happy with 4" in Gap, hopefully it can survive to the weekend for sledding with the kids. 

If you get only 4 inches of snow in Gap, that will be because you got a whole lot of sleet. That will make it last a lot longer than if it were pure snow.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Here is the morning discussion from CTP:

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Clouds continue to thicken into a mid to high level overcast sky by late evening. Attention turns to the next round of accumulating snowfall in central PA Thursday/Thursday night into Friday morning. Shortwave energy emerging from the southern Rockies out into the Plains leads to increasing warm advection downstream with moisture influx from the GOMEX. 700mb low will track northeast and cause WAA precipitation to overrun a cold wedge entrenched along the Appalachians. Model guidance trended deeper with the cold air for this cycle. This lead to a primary or dominant ptype of snow in CPA and therefore reduced/shifted icing risk farther to the southeast toward the I-95 corridor. We were keen to ride the winter storm watch on this shift, but some important call-outs would include 1) lower confidence in warning numbers for the northern portion of the watch area and 2) lower probs for wintry mix impacting areas to the southeast of I-81. Still can`t rule out a mix period Thursday night over the far southeast zones, but again the colder model trend has shifted axis of sleet/freezing rain farther southeast along the I-95 corridor. Updated storm total snow from tonight into early Friday morning shows a modest decrease/increase in numbers across the northwest/southeast portions of central PA. Max amounts are around 6-8 inches along the PA Turnpike/I-78 corridor. HREF and latest HRRR agree in an onset just prior to midnight over the south-central Alleghenies with potential for a "thump" of moderate-heavy snow Thursday morning as it spreads to the northeast with rates ~ 1"/hr most likely focused over the southern tier counties near the PA Turnpike/I-78 corridor. Another period of moderate snow looks possible Thursday evening with longer duration light snow intensity Thursday night Friday morning. Snow ends by Friday afternoon, but some lake-effect and upslope snow showers may linger over the northwest Alleghenies and Laurel Highlands.

 

Thats about as good as one could expect to hear from CTP.  

Ok....I'm in. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Early morning NAM and Euro look to have cut back some of our snow, but that probably just means more sleet.

6Z NAM looked fine to me.  Negligible difference from 0Z.  The Euro was the lowest snow model at 0Z and may have reduced at 6Z, could be right but it's a bit on its own.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, FHS said:

I remember in the 90s when Chuck Roads dropped the ball  on a December storm the  whole town of Etters and Lewisberry myself included drove to his hose in Leewood village Marysville packing heat and also tar and sheep's wool torches . We drug that lying sob and his whole family out of his house to hang and burn but being the nice people we are around here I just gouged his fkn eyes while every one took turns kicking him in the nuts, even his family joined in for some reason. it was the only one old Chuck ever got wrong but  needless to say Chuck retired the next day. True story

I worked on a lot of houses in Leewood in phase 1 and 2.  I Don't remember Chuck living there. Maybe he came later. Chuck lived outside of Duncannon behind my buddys house. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 degrees here his morning. Yesterday's event didn't really effect me much other than freezing stuff on cars. Roads was pretty much bare.

I see we got bumped down overnight. Still has been a much better winter than normal.

Guess today grease and fuel up...

Good Luck to everyone tomorrow!!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Overnight low here of 20.  I see Bradford hit -1, although that's chump change compared to the -34 that Seagull Lake, MN bottomed out at, anyway.......currently 21/8 here with scattered high clouds.  I think we'll start seeing the convection-allowing models pick up on the sneaky warm layers today and the increased chances for sleet intrusion along the southern tier counties but not before the initial morning thump brings us all a solid 4-8" of fluffy flakes.  The standard northern shift inside of 24-36 hours seems likely as well but hopefully not to an extent that would bankrupt us southern folk, doubtful.  WPC is on board with southern ridge and valley region/eastern CTP land being the best zone for solid totals.  Onward and upward!

day2_psnow_gt_04.gif

d13_fill.gif?1613568691167

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...