paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 EURO went east, not sure what that means for totals but would limit the mixing issues in Lanco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, paweather said: EURO went east, not sure what that means for totals but would limit the mixing issues in Lanco. I'm not seeing that but I'm old. To me this looks tucked with heavy snows to Pittsburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 27 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: State College lies in a valley far southeast enough of the great lakes to miss out on Lake Effect snow and far north enough to usually get fringed on nor'easters. It's meteorolical hell. So true. Usually pray for clippers and our occasional March blockbuster. 1993 was spectacular for SC. 27” and 5’ drifts, if I recall right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I'm not seeing that but I'm old. To me this looks tucked with heavy snows to Pittsburgh. Looks about the same as 12z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Superstorm said: Looks about the same as 12z. . I can't read. Ground truth looks to have moved westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm not seeing that but I'm old. To me this looks tucked with heavy snows to Pittsburgh. The euro arouses me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 11 minutes ago, paweather said: EURO went east, not sure what that means for totals but would limit the mixing issues in Lanco. @54 it came west. just toggled. through it. its maybe 25 miles but follows the tucked theme. UGH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Let's see for those of us who are cheapskates and don't want to give Joe Bastardi money lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 EURO went east, not sure what that means for totals but would limit the mixing issues in Lanco. Definitely not East. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @60 it is notably east. Likely our 6 hour window of pings for lsv. Updated my timestamps. Not used to pivotal sorry for confusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: @42 it came west. just toggled. through it. its maybe 25 miles but follows the tucked theme. UGH Thanks...I thought so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: @48 it is notably east. Likely our 6 hour window of pings for lsv. Notably East? You mean west? It would be odd if it went East but gave us over a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @48 it is notably east. Likely our 6 hour window of pings for lsv. I see a dry punch too.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @48 it is notably east. Likely our 6 hour window of pings for lsv. I see a dry punch too.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 This East vs west back and forth has me thinking of living in Berlin in the 80s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, canderson said: This East vs west back and forth has me thinking of living in Berlin in the 80s. Your communist ass would have never made it out of East Berlin alive. Signed, FSH 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Your communist ass would have never made it out of East Berlin alive. Signed, FSH Funny, cause I did live in communist Baku for a bit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Notably East? You mean west? It would be odd if it went East but gave us over a foot. Corrections. I hate pivotal. at 42 WEST slightly. at 48 it is EAST notably. was togglin through 0z and 12z and got all discombobulated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Corrections. I hate pivotal. at 48 it is WEST slightly. at 54 it is EAST notably. So what Nut is saying is...unless you guessed north or south, you win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Let's see for those of us who are cheapskates and don't want to give Joe Bastardi money lol High water mark of the mixing at this 42 hr frame. Mixing at 39 and 42 above mason-dixon. Everyone back over at hr 45. It's hard on these 3 hr maps to really tell whats going on QPF wise but it appears to me the mixing period might conincide with a slot (or lighter precip at least) working up into the LSV, which is certainly possible with how close the low gets before fading. Euros only putting out small sleet/ice numbers and then the backside sets back again as snow. It's still going to be a significant snowfall regardless. Hr 42 10:1 map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: So what Nut is saying is...unless you guessed north or south, you win! dude that was NOT my best work. I'll stay away from pivotal from now on. Apologies. Euro caved to the tucked solutions. I'm toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: dude that was NOT my best work. I'll stay away from pivotal from now on. Apologies. Euro caved to the tucked solutions. I'm toast. Sorry, you misunderstood, I wasn't being critical. My point was that the storm WAS both west AND east at different time stamps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 48 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: State College lies in a valley far southeast enough of the great lakes to miss out on Lake Effect snow and far north enough to usually get fringed on nor'easters. It's meteorolical hell. I lived there from 2004-09 and had a bunch of moderate events, nothing I would really call major. The largest single event was the Valentines Day 2007 snow/sleet event with I think 11". Consistently below average snow, one year 08-09 maybe got above 40". PLENTY of events that split PA down the middle and skipped us over, storms that formed too late or cutters that were sleet events. This looks like the kind of storm that can really dump on them-a track over the Chesapeake Bay into S NJ is essentially textbook for that area. The result is a sloppy mess for my backyard but I'll be thrilled if somehow UNV can pull it off to get above 20". Yes it's really been since 1994 that it's happened. The area is known for nickle/dime events that can add up but often to below season average. Further east/north often get in on the big nor'easters. 3/14/17 if I recall was a very nice event in State College but not like Binghamton/Scranton area. I drove through much of PA in the wake of that and definitely remember a huge max in NE PA that petered out a little to the west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 CBS21 (Harrisburg) is undercutting CTP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, canderson said: CBS21 (Harrisburg) is undercutting CTP. That’s a horrible map and lines up with almost no model guidance. I know that it isn’t their viewing area but 1 inch in Pittsburgh is hilarious. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: Looks good. I'll take it. I do feel the red shade ends up about 50-75 miles west of that to the Mount Union, Lewistown, Selinsgrove corridor and east to Carlisle and Harrisburg. I think you are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 40 minutes ago, canderson said: This East vs west back and forth has me thinking of living in Berlin in the 80s. Youda thought i was tryin some of Atomix special stuff while doing pbp... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: That’s a horrible map and lines up with almost no model guidance. I know that it isn’t their viewing area but 1 inch in Pittsburgh is hilarious. Yes, I don't think they took areas outside of their viewership area into account. I hope not at least. Any model showing DC getting 3"+ is showing 15" or more for me...just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cfbaggett Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: State College lies in a valley far southeast enough of the great lakes to miss out on Lake Effect snow and far north enough to usually get fringed on nor'easters. It's meteorolical hell. The summers are quite pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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