cleetussnow Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 If that things closes off over us...? Which it does with a retrograde...nice lake signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Yeah and still going lol But GL timing the CF from this lead time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 That some nice looking lake effect lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Well we have the New England crew to thank for this. They get convection and rn+ on Christmas. Their weenies need a break. Well so do I at my house but I got snow OTG until at least Christmas eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Toss ‘em!! This looks like weenie hut jr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 I see 60 hrs of streamers or synoptic, probably enhanced, off Lake Ontario. That could add up. That retrograde has to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: This looks like weenie hut jr Ima goofie goober. Let’s do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Probably like 3-4 feet verbatim lol But if it goes a little west every thing changes, probably best to stick with Sunday for now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 This would be one hell of a Christmas Eve! Lol. It’ll change 24 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Canadian is farther west with it..So is the icon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Canadian goes over us. Followed by big LES in traditional belts with blizzard like conditions there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 ICON is a good demonstration of what usually happens wit a storm that goes west of us= rain followed by wind and cold. Very little snow unless you are in the hills South of BUF or on the TUG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 15 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: This would be one hell of a Christmas Eve! Lol. It’ll change 24 times. Nah this has legs. Of course they’re prosthetic ones that don’t fit right but they’re legs nonetheless!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 12 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Canadian goes over us. Followed by big LES in traditional belts with blizzard like conditions there. It will begin that way but there will be plenty of S/W rounding the PV over Hudson Bay to spray the LES around...I think in this scenario everyone gets a piece of the action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: It will begin that way but there will be plenty of S/W rounding the PV over Hudson Bay to spray the LES around...I think in this scenario everyone gets a piece of the action Ehhh. I wouldn’t hold my breath on the Genny Valley seeing more than a dusting in that scenario. Downsloping, wind trajectory, wind speed, subsidence time etc. We don’t do well with these. If it does the GFS- Rochester would be the sweet spot. Canadian or Icon- I’d want to be in the traditional LES zones (including North Buffalo). Lots of time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 35 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: This would be one hell of a Christmas Eve! Lol. It’ll change 24 times. I just need that beast to move two counties to the east. Is that too much to ask for in the next 7 days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 hours ago, rochesterdave said: It’s shocking. They got half of their seasonal total in about 18 hours. It’s the most incredible synoptic storm I’ve EVER seen (on a local level). So close to all of us! "Is this Heaven?" "It's Binghamton." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 hour ago, 96blizz said: Toss ‘em!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 That's a pretty strong HP off the east coast that obviously can slow the progression of the CF.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 hour ago, cleetussnow said: If that things closes off over us...? Which it does with a retrograde...nice lake signal -NAO blocking could definitely help with that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just for fun: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 We need to spread the love gents as the southern tier and Eastern New York got theirs now it's our turn , is that too much to ask?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Well for me since I'm selfish would like it to stay inland, just not to inland Even with a rain track we can see some decent snow on the backside.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 12 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Well for me since I'm selfish would like it to stay inland, just not to inland Even with a rain track we can see some decent snow on the backside.. If we can get that timing right with the wave running up the arctic front, that would be amazing. The fact all the models have a strong front barreling through around the 24-25th is a good thing. Somethin' gonna' happen. Let's see what the 12z Euro has... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Do what we do best and that's dink and dunk..lol Pulaski (0.5 NE) has 3" this year, so yeah.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Model question. What's the difference between the GFS & ECMWF vs their high-res counterparts on Pivotal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katodog Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 hours ago, brentrich said: Yup, ha, how have you been? i am katodog not you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katodog Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 hours ago, Syrmax said: Katodog is that you? Is this me? no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 European with a different look then 0z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 I think we get the christmas eve cold front, that seems fairly locked in. But chasing a wave that develops along the front 7 days out is a long shot. Very tricky evolution for that to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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