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WinterWxLuvr

November Medium/Long Range Discussion

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The long range now takes us into November where winter events have been known to occur.

Jus a glance at the GEFS suggests a near normal regime the first few days with the caveat that that’s a long way out.

Hopefully the mods can pin this and soon we will have stuff to talk about. :thumbsup:

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23 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Might as well start with the trusty CFS for an h5 pattern overview. It tends to have a clue at this range.

:yikes:

 

I’ll take what the CFS is offering for DJF though. 

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1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

I’ll take what the CFS is offering for DJF though. 

Yeah i mentioned this in the other thread a couple days ago. Even though it lost the HL 'help' for the winter months, the Pacific is decent enough(specifically EPO) to probably give us some cold air delivery at times. Still plenty of time for that idea to fall apart.

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5 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

But what does it (or could it) mean? 

Look at the winter thread I covered it there.

 

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Maybe the GFS wasn't so crazy with the phase potential. As mentioned a couple days ago,  we may get a wave breaking event . 

ecmwf_z500_mslp_atl_8.png

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