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MAG5035

Central PA - Spring 2020

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5 minutes ago, Anduril said:

So I assume since harrisburg area is still pretty cloud covered and cold that any real chance for a decent thunderstorm is moot for us?

The radar looks pitiful.  It's 71 here now and cannot see any clouds to the west.  Did see the zone forecast just south of me says snow Wed AM!

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8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The radar looks pitiful.  It's 71 here now and cannot see any clouds to the west.  Did see the zone forecast just south of me says snow Wed AM!

My temperature dropped after my 2:40pm update. I'm down to 52 with dense overcast and mist. 54 is my high so far...

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Well for this week in "it figures", hey we have blocking up top! Unfortunately, probably too much so in the case of this potential April 1st event. -PNA western trough and positive tilt alignment also help keep the system suppressed and not really allow for it to amp and try to come up. Even if it does throw up precip, the temps are likely to be really marginal as per usual this time of the year absent a significantly anomalous cold airmass. 

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5720800.thumb.png.de90cb650bd1f177db26bc32a239e3cd.png

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6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

My temperature dropped after my 2:40pm update. I'm down to 52 with dense overcast and mist. 54 is my high so far...

The LSV fog/cloud trap. 

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Visible satellite imagery (https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-dcphase-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined) shows very clearly the low cloud deck still anchored in over eastern PA this afternoon even after clearing in the mid-high levels. You can see a little bit of erosion of the low clouds from the west and south but we're only a couple hours from sunset and the east probably isn't clearing out by then. The sun did bust out here mid-afternoon and we're in the 60s, but we don't have the high winds that are occurring in the Laurel's and especially west of there in PBZ's zones. The full mixing there is getting temps way into the 70s, even JST is 72 currently. 

 

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8 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Visible satellite imagery (https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-dcphase-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined) shows very clearly the low cloud deck still anchored in over eastern PA this afternoon even after clearing in the mid-high levels. You can see a little bit of erosion of the low clouds from the west and south but we're only a couple hours from sunset and the east probably isn't clearing out by then. The sun did bust out here mid-afternoon and we're in the 60s, but we don't have the high winds that are occurring in the Laurel's and especially west of there in PBZ's zones. The full mixing there is getting temps way into the 70s, even JST is 72 currently. 

 

I am actually glad we broke out in sun here.  Grass is mowed, temps are great and the upcoming week looks quite chilly for April standards so needed a nice day like this.  Feel bad for the folks east of me.  

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3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I am actually glad we broke out in sun here.  Grass is mowed, temps are great and the upcoming week looks quite chilly for April standards so needed a nice day like this.  Feel bad for the folks east of me.  

It was the perfect temperature here for walking on the river trail this afternoon. :) 

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Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

It was the perfect temperature here for walking on the river trail this afternoon. :) 

You are a coldinista with temps.  LOL.  Anything under 60 is chilly if the wind is blowing.  We did walk about two miles ourselves this afternoon so after coming into the weekend with a terrible weather forecast it did not turn out too bad.  We ended up with only .65" of rain all together.  Those heavy bands many here got yesterday went north of me. 

 

 

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3 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

The radar looks pitiful.  It's 71 here now and cannot see any clouds to the west.  Did see the zone forecast just south of me says snow Wed AM!

The sky looks pitiful here. It's 54 here now and cannot see any mountains due to the fog and mist. What an UGLY day today here...

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42 minutes ago, canderson said:

Topped out at 53 - 17 below forecast. 
 

In other news my family mender with COVID-19 is much better today.

Great news!

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1 hour ago, canderson said:

Topped out at 53 - 17 below forecast. 
 

In other news my family mender with COVID-19 is much better today.

Yeah was even worse here. Was supposed to be 73 here. Also good to hear they're doing better. Been hearing some pretty chilling numbers. The Trump administration was saying a good case scenario with deaths would be 100,000-200,000 :\\\

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Did not even make it to lunch and already above our forecast highs for the day.  Saw York is at theirs already as well.  Modeled temps continue to be off quite a bit. 

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43 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Did not even make it to lunch and already above our forecast highs for the day.  Saw York is at theirs already as well.  Modeled temps continue to be off quite a bit. 

63 here with a forecast high of 58. End of March sun for the win!

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Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

63 here with a forecast high of 58. End of March sun for the win!

It does feel nice out with even with the wind...but getting so rare to see a temp bust low.  I guess it may have for some east of the mountains yesterday.

 

 

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14 minutes ago, paweather said:

Well, I am still holding out for a Easter Snowstorm, something please mother nature give us some hope.

GFS has a a cold front pressing in Easter but temps are a bit marginal.  

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1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

63 here with a forecast high of 58. End of March sun for the win!

Looks like Adams and York County will be the "winners" today.  Several readings in the 70's.  Even @Cashtown_Coop is 66 over there in the North Pole of the LSV.

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25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Looks like Adams and York County will be the "winners" today.  Several readings in the 70's.  Even @Cashtown_Coop is 66 over there in the North Pole of the LSV.

Believe it or not, I just had a brief, light rain shower. Wasn't expecting it...

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20 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

Nice day out.  Getting a lot done at the course today 

Looks like the clouds moved in over your way as well.  We dropped form 64 to 58 in a matter of 45 min after the cloud cover rolled in.

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5 hours ago, paweather said:

Well, I am still holding out for a Easter Snowstorm, something please mother nature give us some hope.

:gun_bandana:

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20 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

After 24 hours of dry weather, precipitation has returned!

We do chilly and damp well around here.  

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4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Yep - lovin' me some good easterly fetch...temp is down to 46 and it's raw out. 

Yea...I actually enjoy it.  I only dislike it when we have a threat of t-storms.  It sucks when you see storms firing over western pa, only to fizzle when they hit the cad over eastern pa.

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3 minutes ago, daxx said:

Yea...I actually enjoy it.  I only dislike it when we have a threat of t-storms.  It sucks when you see storms firing over western pa, only to fizzle when they hit the cad over eastern pa.

Speaking of thunderstorms is anyone familiar enough with these tents all over the area, in NYC and around here, going up due to Covid and their ability to withstand a storm with strong downdrafts and high winds?  When I see those things the first thing I think is that I would not want to be in one when a storm hits. 

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11 minutes ago, daxx said:

Yea...I actually enjoy it.  I only dislike it when we have a threat of t-storms.  It sucks when you see storms firing over western pa, only to fizzle when they hit the cad over eastern pa.

That's when I root for this the most. :) 

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