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November 2019 discussion


weathafella
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9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Radarman Eric is part of this study. Studying banding in NE snowstorm.  https://espo.nasa.gov/impacts/content/IMPACTS

Speaking of tax dollars. They are going to have us to supplemental soundings for that but we can't authorize OT for anyone to come in and help with those. So we essentially lose a forecaster on shift during winter weather run up. Sweet deal.

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3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Speaking of tax dollars. They are going to have us to supplemental soundings for that but we can't authorize OT for anyone to come in and help with those. So we essentially lose a forecaster on shift during winter weather run up. Sweet deal.

Bureaucracy is a beautiful thing. 

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5 hours ago, wxeyeNH said:

It was last November 27th last year that I got a 13" birch wrecker.  18" up at 1400 feet but only a couple of sloppy inches down where everyone lives 500 feet or so.  Driving around these parts its easy to see how many birch trees are now forever bent over.  Similar event?  Tonights 0Z runs will be interesting for those few of us up here.

That’s birch bender or birch breaker. Please use the proper alliteration when describing snow storms!

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Sounds like fun. 

The anticipated deep isothermal profiles near 0C and strong UVV are concerning for impactful low snow-to-liquid ratios, and generally showing 8:1 or so in our snowfall calculations. This will result in snow adhering strongly to trees and powerlines, and possible scattered power outages across central VT Sunday into Sunday evening.

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Sounds like fun. 

The anticipated deep isothermal profiles near 0C and strong UVV are concerning for impactful low snow-to-liquid ratios, and generally showing 8:1 or so in our snowfall calculations. This will result in snow adhering strongly to trees and powerlines, and possible scattered power outages across central VT Sunday into Sunday evening.

Shouldn’t leave you out either. Looks healthy up that way. It’s definitely man snow for sure. 

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8 hours ago, dendrite said:

GFS is more borderline with temps, but still flips to a dynamic nuke for C NH. I think this is trending toward PF though...gonna need that classic SNE luck where it ticks back cooler/south a bit near go-time.

You need the messenger shuffle. 

Or you could just throw a tirade like Scooter did a couple days before the 3/4 event this year and then all the next runs turned into a jackpot for him. You might have that same power. 

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9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

12/2 Might need to be watched, but my gut says might not be favorable for SNE. Honorable mention is 12/5-12/6 but again...not sure how that shakes as we are getting way out there. 

Yeah the NAO is trying to push 12/2 south. But I agree the best look for winter threats is probably the following week when the cold is more established. At least that's the way it looks now. Back when we were all more level-headed years ago, we used to talk about how guidance tried to rush the changes...probably same deal here. 

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