djr5001 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, sauss06 said: How will the speed affect the potential sleet and frzn at the end? I would imagine it will be more rain than sleet for the second wave later - the dryslot may allow surface temps to slightly warm but there is no way lower levels near surface with fresh snowfall get above freezing until tonight at earliest when the rain arrives with the warmer air. It’s going to be a tough call for Penndot because they often say they like to leave a little bit of snow before a changeover because its easier to remove with the ice on top. Hours of nothing will leave bare but probably salted roads for when the next wave hits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 26 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Was at work but back home now. Nice. Enjoy. Still in etown. Hoping to leave early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 1 minute ago, djr5001 said: I would imagine it will be more rain than sleet for the second wave later - the dryslot may allow surface temps to slightly warm but there is no way lower levels near surface with fresh snowfall get above freezing until tonight at earliest when the rain arrives with the warmer air. It’s going to be a tough call for Penndot because they often say they like to leave a little bit of snow before a changeover because its easier to remove with the ice on top. Hours of nothing will leave bare but probably salted roads for when the next wave hits. thats why i was asking. I hate nothing more then to shovel fresh snow in the fricking rain, that sucks. Well at least we have snow for a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Just now, djr5001 said: I would imagine it will be more rain than sleet for the second wave later - the dryslot may allow surface temps to slightly warm but there is no way lower levels near surface with fresh snowfall get above freezing until tonight at earliest when the rain arrives with the warmer air. That has been my feeling as well though where I am I am most prone to rise. I think east of the mountains is in for some ice late this afternoon. Unfortunate that we will lose this pack so fast the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Wow. It was snowing heavily for the entire hour between 10 and 11. More heavily than I even estimated. I picked up an additional 2.3" to reach 4.0" total so far. It continues to snow heavily at this same 2"/hour rate. Temp 26.1. Will enjoy it while I can. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Over 3" in Harrisburg, moderate to heavy snow. I have dropped 2 more degrees the last 2 hours and now sit at 25. I'm hoping we squeek 5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 HRRR really brings the icy terror mostly between 6PM and 10PM tonight. Probably overdone but 1/2" ice for much of Adams and a good portion of Cumberland based on the coloring. The numbers shown are not placed where the most ice is progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 26/23 here with Sn+ maybe even ++. 5" as rates are pushing or exceeding 2/hr right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: HRRR really brings the icy terror mostly between 6PM and 10PM tonight. Probalbly over done but 1/2" ice for much of Adams and a good portion of Cumberland based on the coloring. The numbers shown are not placed where the most ice is progged. if i read it correctly, it doesn't appear to go above freezing until around 10pm for my area anyhow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 1 minute ago, sauss06 said: if i read it correctly, it doesn't appear to go above freezing until around 10pm for my area anyhow. Yea sometime between 10 and 12 on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 It's even more prolific on the most recent run. Note MDT went from 0.09 up to 0.32". Like you said the majority of this falls by 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Well, held on to super heavy rates until about 5 minutes ago. All the way back down to light now. Will measure at noon. Expecting another 1". Temp 26.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 1 minute ago, CarlislePaWx said: It's even more prolific on the most recent run. Note MDT went from 0.09 up to 0.32". Like you said the majority of this falls by 10pm. Will be interesting how cold it really is and how it affects the public who at 2PM will assume...snow stopped? Storm over. Moderate rain and 28 is going to be like a second winter storm in one day. Moderate rain and 32 will be a non event for roads at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 20 minutes ago, sauss06 said: thats why i was asking. I hate nothing more then to shovel fresh snow in the fricking rain, that sucks. Well at least we have snow for a couple hours. That's what I have been dealing with all winter. Trying hit things before the change over. Good to see some ppl getting some good returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 last 30 minutes snowfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Closing in on 3.5”. This is 1.5” or so hour rare stuff here. It’s fantastic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Will be interesting how cold it really is and how it affects the public who at 2PM will assume...snow stopped? Storm over. Moderate rain and 28 is going to be like a second winter storm in one day. Moderate rain and 32 will be a non event for roads at least. yep, thats the million dollar question. It seriously will suck going home. edit- our drivers are coming back, said they roads are horrible. They already went home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, sauss06 said: yep, thats the million dollar question. It seriously will suck going home. edit- our drivers are coming back, said they roads are horrible. They already went home. There are like 20 accidents on 81 between HBG and Chambersburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 So I hit the sack at 8am with not really any thing going on. woke up at 11am with just over 4 inchs the snow has slow down in the last hour or so. but looks like things have changed vs that bad weather forecast at 6pm last night saying the mix will start at 3-4 and be all rain before 7pm. they had my area going above freezing at 6pm. now im seeing every one say most places wont get out of that range till 10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 1 minute ago, canderson said: There are like 20 accidents on 81 between HBG and Chambersburg. That is what i'm told. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Upper Strasburg reports 8.0” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Blue is 1000-850mb and yellow is 850-700mb. Fully expecting these to kick north one by one later with red leading the charge followed by yellow, green, then blue. These really show the torching west of the mountains and CAD east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 So it looks like our radar is drying to the west and the focus on the precip is down over Maryland for the time being. Does that make the GFS the winner in the model war running up to the event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Starting to lighten up here. About 6" so guessing I will end up between 6 and 7 from this phase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 5” - serious snow the past hour and half. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Based on a quick read of the MA Ob's fourm we have entered the "Age of the Herpsderps". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Since I'm enjoying today...I hope were not done yet....how do we lock this bomb in? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Here at noon I just measured 5.0" on the board, an increase of 1.0" during the past hour. Most of that inch fell between 11:00 and 11:30 during the super-heavy period. It's been light to moderate since. Temp has risen to 27.0 with the drop off in intensity and increasing sun angle of the day. With only blues on radar now it's going to be tough to add significantly to the totals from here. But, this is the best event of the winter for me as I was down in Florida back in November and came back home the day after the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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