SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Nice and juicy on the FV3 and RDPS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Total orientation looks different now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 17 minutes ago, Charlee4615 said: Nope, thank god! This place is a nightmare when it snows. During the storm in November you could hear cars crashing every half an hour or so! We used to take food trays from Willard Straight and slide down Libe Slope. I think they banned that when a student got seriously hurt running into a tree. Good thing we have no admins because I’m getting way off topic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, vortmax said: From WPC diag disc: Preference: Non 12Z NAM blend Confidence: Slightly Above Average Model clustering continues to slowly tighten with each cycle, such that confidence is a bit above average for the track and evolution of the upper trough and surface low moving from the central to eastern U.S. this weekend. However, the 12Z NAM stands out the greatest from the relatively tight model clustering with its surface low tracking faster/east compared to the remaining deterministic and ensemble consensus. This is due to a slightly flatter low-mid level wave in the NAM. The 12Z NAM also differs with its 700 mb evolution across the Ohio Valley on Saturday with a less consolidated wave. While the 12Z NAM is not a significant outlier, there is enough difference to exclude it from the overall preference across the central and eastern U.S. RLMAO, poor Americans, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: RLMAO, poor Americans, lol! The NAM got NAMed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Total orientation looks different now.. I said the intermountain region was causing havoc with last nights 00Z Suite as they all were a bit whacky, not only the NAM!! Look at the difference now WRT SLP track and intensity, Thank God this thing is hauling ass cause it would cut if it had more room, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 As soon as it entered the Plains today the whole system is different looking, unreal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 If this LP amps up a bit more with a slower, more northerly track, we may actually see a BW from KBUF along the south shore...first call...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 If this went just a bit further South and then made the turn this would be a Miller A as there is no longer a redevelopment as its a consolidated system from tyhe OH through PA then off to the South of LI! What an unbelievable track for our area WOW! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, vortmax said: From WPC diag disc: Preference: Non 12Z NAM blend Confidence: Slightly Above Average Model clustering continues to slowly tighten with each cycle, such that confidence is a bit above average for the track and evolution of the upper trough and surface low moving from the central to eastern U.S. this weekend. However, the 12Z NAM stands out the greatest from the relatively tight model clustering with its surface low tracking faster/east compared to the remaining deterministic and ensemble consensus. This is due to a slightly flatter low-mid level wave in the NAM. The 12Z NAM also differs with its 700 mb evolution across the Ohio Valley on Saturday with a less consolidated wave. While the 12Z NAM is not a significant outlier, there is enough difference to exclude it from the overall preference across the central and eastern U.S. Would have been perfect if they just ended their statement with... "It's just the NAM being the NAM." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wolf, where did you get that data from as models,com hasn't updated yet or is it my Laptop screwing around cause I have refreshed several times with no luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12Z EURO doesn't come out till 1:00 right? I'm confused, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 So I gather from these latest runs that the chances of taint reaching Albany have gone up. We'd been in the bullseye too long. Something had to give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Gotta say. This looks about as good as it can for us. Which we also said on Tuesday. I should've went to bed early last night and spared myself some angst. Another rookie mistake. But weenies will be weenies I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 My bad thats the UKMET, lol thats why I'm confused 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Ukmet has been finished since around 12:15.. Euro starts around 12:50.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I admit I went nuts last night so much so that I couldn't sleep once I tried to close my eyes, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: Ukmet has been finished since around 12:15.. Euro starts around 12:50.. I don't know the times which I should Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: I admit I went nuts last night so much so that I couldn't sleep once I tried to close my eyes, lol! Get some shuteye tonight. Dont want to be wrung out for the actual storm. That's my plan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Precip ukmet ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Syrmax said: Get some shuteye tonight. Dont want to be wrung out for the actual storm. That's my plan. Might be an all nighter for some of us tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I have went from 2 hours a night to 5 hours, i'm on the mend..lol Sucks having ADHD and being a weather nerd.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I love snow and all but I love sleep much much more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 I’ve been sick for 2 weeks so I’m getting 10 hours of sleep a night. Winter always kills me with colds. I never get sick in summer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Might be an all nighter for some of us tomorrow night. Guaranteed as I'm lookin to verify blizzard and we all do realize, a more wound up mid-lvl system and boom we have closure all least up to H700, cause it just might happen cause what stopping this from gaining strength! There's not much behind it and if it wants to it can buckle the flow alot more if that HP slows a but more and allows this system to get out in front! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The melt in other forums is nearly complete. It's actually raised h925 temps a tick or two. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I’ve been sick for 2 weeks so I’m getting 10 hours of sleep a night. Winter always kills me with colds. I never get sick in summer Wash your hands and sing ABC...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Syrmax said: The melt in other forums is nearly complete. It's actually raised h925 temps a tick or two. Weenie meltdown almost complete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Think its gonna come a tick or two NW again for the 3rd run in a row! Actually after a gander back at 00Z, there's not much of a difference! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Storm of the Superblood Moon, as Sunday we experience the phenomenon. Interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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