Voyager Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 6 minutes ago, canderson said: Flash flood warning fir Harrisburg until 9:30. At this point CTP should issue headlines if it won’t rain. And they can start with Tamaqua. It hasn't {{{yawn}}} rained a drop here all day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 7 minutes ago, canderson said: That first cell skirted the city proper - it rained but we’ve had heavier - but it appears our luck(lol) runs out soon, I have only lived here about 7 years but I’ve never seen water come down the hillside where I’m at like it is right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: And they can start with Tamaqua. It hasn't {{{yawn}}} rained a drop here all day... Not a drop here and I've been fine with that. Enough is enough. Too many people are being too adversely affected by this. However...looks like my dry day is about to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 My rain gauge is sitting at 1.62” since 7am but it was coming down so hard it’s not accurate because it was over flowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 5 minutes ago, djr5001 said: I have only lived here about 7 years but I’ve never seen water come down the hillside where I’m at like it is right now The projected crest for the river in Harrisburg was lowered again, so hopefully things get better in your area soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 No rain here since early this morning! ... was true until about 15 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: Not a drop here and I've been fine with that. Enough is enough. Too many people are being too adversely affected by this. However...looks like my dry day is about to end. Which is one of the reasons I'd like to have seen this move east as time progressed. Aside from my selfish, weather enthusiast mentality that wants to be in the "bullseye" for a weather event, I, too, feel sorry for those who've already seen massive flooding, and are seeing buckets of unwanted rain yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Also, I have this nagging feeling that when it does reach my location, the back edge will be moving faster than the leading edge and it'll be in and out in 15 minutes. If you've watched my posts, the radar, and the general weather pattern in and around Tamaqua, you'll see that it's been this way for years. No matter what kind of event, set up, or season. Hell, even the worst storm in probably a century (Sandy) was rather benign here. There is definitely something about the geography and topography of northeastern Schuylkill County that tames or prevents any kind of extreme event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Just now, Voyager said: Also, I have this nagging feeling that when it does reach my location, the back edge will be moving faster than the leading edge and it'll be in and out in 15 minutes. If you've watched my posts, the radar, and the general weather pattern in and around Tamaqua, you'll see that it's been this way for years. No matter what kind of event, set up, or season. Hell, even the worst storm in probably a century (Sandy) was rather benign here. There is definitely something about the geography and topography of northeastern Schuylkill County that tames or prevents any kind of severe event here. I mentioned this the other day but I’d be very interested in a thermal dynamics study. The lower Susquehanna Valley for a decade or more has cashed in on all sorts of extreme setups - snow, rain, wind. The exact same spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 7 minutes ago, canderson said: I mentioned this the other day but I’d be very interested in a thermal dynamics study. The lower Susquehanna Valley for a decade or more has cashed in on all sorts of extreme setups - snow, rain, wind. The exact same spots. Yeah, I remember that post. There is something to it, though. With the moist southerly flow, you'd have thought that upsloping would have caused us to see much more precip than we did. This event, and past ones (TS Lee comes to mind) reminds me of the winter when I sit in the subsidence zone between two heavy bands of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Just think if this was all snow. Picked up 0.90" today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 15 minutes ago, pawatch said: Just think if this was all snow. Picked up 0.90" today I'd probably have been banned by now for excessive ranting. Pouring again. Shocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Looking at the radar, wondering how the hell the Railriders expect to get anything in tonight. They have a suspended game to finish and the regularly scheduled game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Storms to left of me, rain to the right... Here I am, stuck in the middle and dry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Yay! The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Lackawanna County in northeastern Pennsylvania... Central Luzerne County in northeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 1015 PM EDT. * At 720 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain developing across the warned area including the Greater Scranton Wilkes barre area. Significant life-threatening urban flooding is possible. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, Hazleton, Dunmore, Kingston, Plains, Old Forge, Pittston, Archbald and Blakely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 This line is taking its good old time moving. Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 6 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: This line is taking its good old time moving . Pro It’s backbuilt in strength, which I didn’t expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Quote Its been cats and dogs here for well over a hour now. This event is not quite like the floods of 2006 or the remnant low from lee 2011 but I am not sure its over yet. Friday looks interesting starting the day with posable super cell mode with upward growth from there. I believe the blocking high in the Atlantic returns and the trough in the east remains promant for some time do thay not? who has the scope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 I guess with nightfall and the instability diminishing, so is the areal coverage of the rain. The eastern edge (where I am) of the line is weakening somewhat, and the heaviest rains actually appear to be shrinking back slightly westward... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 14 minutes ago, Voyager said: I guess with nightfall and the instability diminishing, so is the areal coverage of the rain. The eastern edge (where I am) of the line is weakening somewhat, and the heaviest rains actually appear to be shrinking back slightly westward... I have been on the back edge of the moderate rain band since 7:45 and I still am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 I think it’s finaly over ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Susky at W-B now forecast to top the 22' flood stage. Very small pass (23) but it'll be there nonetheless. Something to watch if Horst's rainy pattern forecast materializes. I'll be back in NYC by then but will certainly be watching closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 14 hours ago, djr5001 said: I have only lived here about 7 years but I’ve never seen water come down the hillside where I’m at like it is right now i saw video from Tower road at Zeigler lane yesterday afternoon, WOW, just fricking WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 This is what djr is talking about I think. Pictures from my friend who lives on the mountain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 I am putting down I ended with 10.75" rain from this event. It likely is off because my gauge was knocked over twice but looking around at totals I feel comfortable there. The river is quite angry this morning. I'll get some photos or videos after work if the light is OK. If not tomorrow morning I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 1.4" last evening brought my total to 9.7" Question: looks like WPC is expecting a general 2"-3" of rain over the next 7 days. With a few dry days prior to the next system, will waterways be able to handle that amount? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 I don’t like the wording CTP is using in the discussion. .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Med range guidance remains in fairly good agreement into next week, all of which track surface high pressure across the state this weekend. By next week, a deepening upper trough over the Miss Valley, combined with an anomalous upper ridge off the east coast, could potentially result in another atmospheric river setup along the east coast. A generally dry and seasonable weekend appears likely, as high pressure drifts across the state. However, can`t rule out a stray shower each day in association with the passage of a pair of shortwaves. Early next week is looking increasingly wet, as deep plume of tropical moisture overruns an approaching warm front. Med range models indicate warm front is likely to lift north of the state Tue/Wed. However, central Pa will remain within belt of anomalous pwats and susceptible to widespread, diurnally-driven convection into midweek. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Thanks Canderson hope there is some changes to that forcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 The Susquehanna at Harrisburg crested an hour or so ago at 17’ even and is now falling. The city itself got extremely lucky it was so low prior to Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 Oh cool another FFW. Flood Watch National Weather Service State College PA 936 AM EDT Fri Jul 27 2018 PAZ057>059-064>066-280300- /O.NEW.KCTP.FF.A.0012.180727T1700Z-180728T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 936 AM EDT Fri Jul 27 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in State College has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Adams, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Schuylkill, and York. * From 1 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening * Showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and continue through late evening, with heavy rainfall rates likely. Given saturated soil from this week`s excessive rainfall, flash flooding may again result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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