MJO812 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Ericjcrash said: You'll be lucky to see 6". Most guidance has .6" QPF remaining a bit more for suffolk There's a thing called banding which will happen later . We don't know where yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: There's a thing called banding which will happen later . We don't know where yet. So, us LI folk will get at least at least a few inches more? Will it be snowing until Midnight ? 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: You'll be lucky to see 6". Most guidance has .6" QPF remaining a bit more for Suffolk Where is the center of the low now, how quickly is it moving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: There's a thing called banding which will happen later . We don't know where yet. This storm is a huge under-performer. There's no other way around it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 1/4" in NE Nassau. Moderate snow all day has turned to light sleet and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Enigma said: This storm is a huge under-performer. There's no other way around it. Speak for yourself. Over 4" here with a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 There are some potent cells to the south. almost 50dbz according to radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Enigma said: This storm is a huge under-performer. There's no other way around it. You kinda called it last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Enigma said: This storm is a huge under-performer. There's no other way around it. Now you'll be mocked because you say it's not a KU. I don't see why anyone is shocked and why the can't see this. There's no where near enough precip from this point on to see anything serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Enigma said: This storm is a huge under-performer. There's no other way around it. Not at all...already got 5" across the City and radar really filled in. Central Pk should easily break its post 3/20 10.8" record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, Enigma said: This storm is a huge under-performer. There's no other way around it. Snow growth has been really poor, rates should be a lot better than they are given the radar. However it should start to improve as insolation declines and temps may drop a degree or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Snow growth has been really poor, rates should be a lot better than they are given the radar. Agreed. Forky described this issue last night. Radar is misleading today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Snow growth has been really poor, rates should be a lot better than they are given the radar. That hasn't been true except for now. I'm under the heaviest DBZs of the day and it's finally starting to pass light snow. Picking back up gradually now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, Enigma said: This storm is a huge under-performer. There's no other way around it. Almost 5 inches in Kenilworth with the worst to come this evening . We will hit double digits . Not an under performer in my book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, tempestatis014 said: That's embarrassing. Not bashing at all but why on earth wouldn't they lower totals? Updated 31 min ago... Does any met on here believe New Brunswick will be anywhere close to 18? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Enigma said: Have any of you been out and about today? It's a non-event. Mount Holly was calling for 16 in. in New Brunswick just 6 hours ago. They will barely get 6 in. when all is said and done. Already closing in on five. Sorry you're not having fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Wait for 18z NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, tempestatis014 said: Wait for 18z NAM... yikes, only an inch over the next 4 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, tempestatis014 said: Wait for 18z NAM... Why? Look outside and at the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Good convection near the DelMarVa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, sferic said: My revised Upton map for areas around JFK, 12-18 no way more like 3-4 There's already 4 on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Ant theres a really nice band heading north for long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, Enigma said: Have any of you been out and about today? It's a non-event. Mount Holly was calling for 16 in. in New Brunswick just 6 hours ago. They will barely get 6 in. when all is said and done. Anytime anyone gets 6"+ after March 20 is not an non-event. Under performer yes but you're going too far. But it just goes to show why heavy snows this late in the season don't happen often. If this was mid Jan or Feb this easily would've been a 12"+ storm for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Look at S NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Puking snow right now in Toms River Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 10 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: That's embarrassing. Not bashing at all but why on earth wouldn't they lower totals? Updated 31 min ago... Does any met on here believe New Brunswick will be anywhere close to 18? Where do you see 18? It says 9...I think that is a stretch though... I think these models have actually gotten worse in the last couple years. How can they all be this wrong 12-24 hours out. I'd almost rather not have any model predictions because they change so much. And Mt Holly only adjusting down at 2:30pm is a joke. Might have 3 inches here and the streets are bare. Should have had school everywhere and not take a day off spring break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The second s/w appears to be getting its act together in a hurry off the Delmarva. The issue, in my eyes, has been that this first s/w rather sheered out while this second one is seemingly the one to focus on. This may have been what has been giving the models so many problems as well. Looking at observations, however, it appears that this storm is getting its act together in a hurry. In my forecasts to people, I have hung my hat on this second s/w throughout the past couple of days. I am tired of crow... lets see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The snow is finally starting to dust the road now, but a lot of this storm was lost to the March sun angle. This storm was a prime example of how you need heavy snowfall rates during the day to accumulate on pavement during March. We had a good moderate snow all day, but nothing on pavement. Just a few inches on colder surfaces. The last storm accumulated great on the roads all day because the snow was so heavy. This storm was overhyped, but it's still a nice event. And now that the sun angle is improving here late in the day roads will become covered. We'll probably end up with around 7 or 8 inches, but only a few inches on roads. A far cry from the huge 12 to 18 inch storm that NWS forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: The snow is finally starting to dust the road now, but a lot of this storm was lost to the March sun angle. This storm was a prime example of how you need heavy snowfall rates during the day to accumulate on pavement during March. We had a good moderate snow all day, but nothing on pavement. Had moderate (not heavy) snow all day here. Snow had to be plowed off the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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