Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I see you neglected NW MA and S VT where I fear our 12" totals are starting to slip away to the East...

My b. 12-18” includes W MA.

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, Greg said:

35 Degrees and light ocean effect snow?  That may be a good sign, not sure though.  Reason is that you're at 35 right now with light precip and snowing.  Think what it would be like with heavier precip rates dragging that cold air down right above the deck.

The reason it is a good thing is that it shows we have cold air aloft (need at least a 10C temp difference between surface and aloft to produce the convection). If we had a mild or even marginal air mass these OES showers wouldn't even exist, as convection would be too shallow for precip. 

[ice1972]

I'll go in to work tomorrow in Cheshire in the morning.....about what time do the heavies move in and make 84 a mess back to West Hartford?  2pm ish?

[HullMA]

3 minutes ago, Greg said:

35 Degrees and light ocean effect snow?  That may be a good sign, not sure though.  Reason is that you're at 35 right now with light precip and snowing.  Think what it would be like with heavier precip rates dragging that cold air down right above the deck.

Yep station nearby reporting 36. The local davis on my street is 35. Im glad to see it. Were really going to struggle with the marine layer here

[40/70 Benchmark]

I have my final call narrative all written up...just awaiting the Euro for the final touches on the map.

[40/70 Benchmark]

32.6/26

[ice1972]

This is really great....I could stare at water vapor loops all day.....

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?type=northeast-wv-1-96&checked=&prodDim=100&overDim=100

[78Blizzard]

Euro initialized a tic or so west.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

No obs thread yet?

[40/70 Benchmark]

She's southeast..

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

looks great hope qpf follows.

[Greg]

"She's southeast" I just saw that Ray.  I'm with ya watching.  This is a good sign for sure.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just a hair se and colder...but more precip

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

looks great hope qpf follows.

Group hug on this one, bro.

[wxsniss]

Hr 30 huge hit on eastern SNE... looks like track southeast of ACK close to BM

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Group hug on this one, bro.

Take my totals up and i’ll go to first base.

[OceanStWx]

Nothing wrong with that Euro run. If anything the mid levels are a hair west.

[wxsniss]

Ticked southeast, huge hit across all of SNE into NH and ME

Southeast folks join the part as well

The final word, and all other models played catchup. NWS and media outlets will be scrambling to up amounts this morning.

[8611Blizz]

Can't wait to see the new maps on the stations tomorrow.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

It ramped up qpf out here and a colder solution for all. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It ramped up qpf out here and a colder solution for all. 

you're good for around a foot.

[8611Blizz]

A footer for nyc!

[78Blizzard]

Not much different from 12z:

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Not much different from 12z:

 

It is for peeps on the fence. se ct, se ma. But yes not much change everywhere else.

[ice1972]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Take my totals up and i’ll go to first base.

TAKE EM UP!!!!!  This ridiculous map needs to be dealt with pronto......

[78Blizzard]

Maximum northward penetration of 0C 925 line:

[OceanStWx]

8 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Ticked southeast, huge hit across all of SNE into NH and ME

Southeast folks join the part as well

The final word, and all other models played catchup. NWS and media outlets will be scrambling to up amounts this morning.

Hey now, GYX doesn't have to scramble amounts up this morning! 

[WxBlue]

Widespread 12-20" range it is for southern NH. Lollis up to 24". 

Good night. 

[78Blizzard]

This still needs to verify, but if it does, many on air mets. especially in Boston, will regret giving short shrift to the Euro, which has been steadfast throughout.

[TheSnowman]

And I'm in freaking Texas.  

 

So of course, OF COURSE it's going to be great.  

 

Ray called this perfectly back in Early November.  A "Very stormy March with good chances".