• Member Statistics

    15,882
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LanaM
    Newest Member
    LanaM
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
BuffaloWeather

Upstate/Eastern New York

Recommended Posts

5 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said:

Yes they also have gotten screwed in the lake effect department as well and it may be more than 5-6 years, it may be since the October storm in 2006. They got fringed and came in way lower than areas just a mile or two south during  Dec. 2010, and Nov. 2014. Just a super frusterating time to live from downtown to the airport north. Hopefully this will change soon but obviously with the lake iced over at least 50% and more pretty brutal cold coming in the next week the chances for this year are just about all but gone. This will likley end as another year of below to we’ll below average snowfall at KBUF unless we get some real synoptic storms going which seems like it’s impossible to get. I’ll go out on a limb and say KBUF sees less than 70” on the season while KROC and KSYR finish over 100”...

Yeah I think Erie has a shot at 200", which would be cool to see. Just shows you how much potential Erie has before it freezes, Buffalo has 200"+ potential. It's crazy Binghamton almost doubled Buffalos snow last season and they don't even get Lake effect, or its very rare to get. Just goes to show you the donut hole Toronto to Buffalo has been.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

What a wicked CF slicing its wat to the East!

925mb_sf.gif?1515763358284

The cold front is really cooking east...seems faster than progged...couldn't be fast enough...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, vortmax said:

The cold front is cooking east...seems faster than progged...

Erie just crashed and Ripley is down to 46. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just imagine if the mid-level cold front didn't lag behind the surface cold front, we would for sure see much more snow, as that's the reason why we transition into a more of a freezing rain / ice pellets scenario versus an all snow scenario and it lasts for hours.

Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said:

Not too far west though. KBUF will still be lucky to see 4-5”. You go just east though to Wyoming county and that could easily be doubled or tripled. You go to Youngstown and you may still see grass lmao.

I'm in Erie PA for my middle daughter's gymnastics meet and there is still plenty of snow around.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Time to focus on meso. HRRR looking good for most. Glad I slept through 6z NAM. This east trend has been a thing. I guess if it’s stronger we end up W if it’s weak we end up east. Still like Roc for big numbers. Might struggle to get the 18” I’ve been talking. hrrr_asnow_us_18.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Was working in Lakeview and it was about 60 then literally all of the sudden skies darkened and you could literally watch a heavy fog and mist roll in from over the lake and temp dropped about 15 degrees in under 10 minutes, just incredible !

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said:

Was working in Lakeview and it was about 60 then literally all of the sudden skies darkened and you could literally watch a heavy fog and mist roll in from over the lake and temp dropped about 15 degrees in under 10 minutes, just incredible !

Down to 36 in Erie

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

A nice :weenie: run on the  high Rez Canadian (6z) at 10-1..

F2911611-F80D-4A1C-BFB7-6614E85F447A.jpeg

I'm skeptical about assuming 10:1.....I think during the heaviest precip, (at least in CNY/WNY) the ratios will be closer to 12 or 14:1....which means probably a 15-25% upping of the above totals.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, rochesterdave said:

The ROC SREF’s are a disaster. Anywhere from 2”-3 feet. Lol. It’s tough living on the edge. 

B1D96FEA-D0CF-4300-9A07-3BC48F05FAAF.png

Pretty amazing the spread this close to the show...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Pretty neat watching the cold front on the hrrr swing through the area hr by hr, I noticed temps jump up a couple degrees right before the cold front hits, pumping up those southerly winds? Lol

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

The ROC SREF’s are a disaster. Anywhere from 2”-3 feet. Lol. It’s tough living on the edge. 

B1D96FEA-D0CF-4300-9A07-3BC48F05FAAF.png

I feel very uncomfortable about this storm track.  The western edge of the precip shield only needs to miss by 50 miles and we are in nuisance snow land.  Way to close a call to sit and feel happy.  The precip shield will also be moving very fast with this one.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

I feel very uncomfortable about this storm track.  The western edge of the precip shield only needs to miss by 50 miles and we are in nuisance snow land.  Way to close a call to sit and feel happy.  The precip shield will also be moving very fast with this one.  

I feel ya Delta. It might be more like 25 miles. Somewhere from Roc to Syr is the zone. Any further mvmt east and this thing sails away. I still feel good. My super high confidence has shrugged to an average confidence. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.