Juliancolton Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: I drove through your area this morning and noticed how well you hold onto snow compared to just west of you. From the Taconic down into Rhinebeck it drops slowly then falls off a cliff as you cross 9G. How close are you to the Bulls Head Road exit? Nice area there. It helps that 9G was basically the demarcating line between 8" of paste and liquid rain during storm #1, so we already had some semblance of a pack to build on. I did notice some bare patches opening up where farmers had already started working the ground down the street from me. I'm about 20 minutes from Bulls Head going north on the TSP. I drive that road a lot to get across the Kingston bridge, and it's always such a tease... curvy, hilly with some straightaways, but you always get stuck behind a CR-V doing 29 mph around the turns. Bah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 I like the inverted trough that's been showing up on the GFS and NAM for the offshore storm early this week. I don't have much faith in the 300-400 mile shift we'd need to get into conveyor belt forcing, but the interaction with the northern trough and its associated PVA could still generate a nice pack refresher far inland. The nice thing too is that this would be synoptic ascent as opposed to the mesoscale instability Norlun events that you typically think about what you hear "inverted trough", so it's not totally absurd to discuss it at 72 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 24 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I like the inverted trough that's been showing up on the GFS and NAM for the offshore storm early this week. I don't have much faith in the 300-400 mile shift we'd need to get into conveyor belt forcing, but the interaction with the northern trough and its associated PVA could still generate a nice pack refresher far inland. The nice thing too is that this would be synoptic ascent as opposed to the mesoscale instability Norlun events that you typically think about what you hear "inverted trough", so it's not totally absurd to discuss it at 72 hours out. That caught my attention the other day too but I haven’t paid much attention the last couple of days so I’m glad you still see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 10, 2018 Share Posted March 10, 2018 Over the last 20 years we've only had a few inverted troughs really produce for us, generally you need to be 30-50 miles further east to benefit. I can think of a couple that were a bunch of fun to watch unfold, one in particular that gave us a completely unforecasted 13" of total fluff one afternoon in Patterson and another that was 8" of pillowy softness overnight in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 ARW gone wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 3 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Lol I'll match you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 11 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: I'll match you. La la lock those up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 I guess they got tired of people complaining about those maps being underdispersive. Noooo chance of actual totals exceeding the "worst case" forecast now, hah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Sure was nice out there yesterday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 25 miles west - maybe even less - and the east-of-the-river contingent will rip for a while tomorrow. Gonna be close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Juliancolton said: 25 miles west - maybe even less - and the east-of-the-river contingent will rip for a while tomorrow. Gonna be close. Well, a bunch of the afternoon models have this further west and if you look at the WV images from the last few hours it really looks like this wants to end up another coastal hugger rather than a bm storm. It just feels like the eastern part of the LHV is in for another whack and the backside snows on Wednesday could put another fresh coating on top just for good measure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster15 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 41 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Well, a bunch of the afternoon models have this further west and if you look at the WV images from the last few hours it really looks like this wants to end up another coastal hugger rather than a bm storm. It just feels like the eastern part of the LHV is in for another whack and the backside snows on Wednesday could put another fresh coating on top just for good measure. Should be interesting. NWS just upped totals for my area here in northern Rockland from 2-4 to 3-5 but who knows I’m right at the border of Orange County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 WWA for 2-4 inches. Point & click has me 3-5. Very light snow falling at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Albany's WWA is for 4-8" here. Guidance looks pretty good... the HRRR successfully gets some moderate banding over the HV tomorrow morning, and the GFS, Euro, NAM all have up to .5" or slightly more liquid. Snow growth looks potentially quite good, so I wouldn't be surprised to see totals into low-end warning criteria, especially if the instability/deformation squalls on Wednesday live up to their potential. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Closing in on 4 inches here and 70 for the season. HV doing well this year even when it's not our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Daylight savings gave us that extra hour of darkness early this morning to help accumulate better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster15 Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 4 plus inches here by me. Nice little storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2018 Author Share Posted March 13, 2018 I thought this was suppose to be a "LI Special" lol.. Turning out to be a good event up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2018 Author Share Posted March 13, 2018 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Closing in on 4 inches here and 70 for the season. HV doing well this year even when it's not our storm. Nice! You really cashed in on the 7th.. Im pushing 60" here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 26 minutes ago, snywx said: Nice! You really cashed in on the 7th.. Im pushing 60" here How the hell I have 5.5 inches here in Monroe which as of the 8:50 update is the highest accumulation in the whole coverage area including Suffolk is amazing. 47.5" in 11 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2018 Author Share Posted March 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, West Mtn NY said: How the hell I have 5.5 inches here in Monroe which as of the 8:50 update is the highest accumulation in the whole coverage area including Suffolk is amazing. 47.5" in 11 days. Most of Orange county is in the 5-6" range now. Looks like the interior is doing well again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Hoping that last western band holds together enough for one more burst as it pulls through to get me to 6". Gonna go out and shovel now so will get actual measurements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 8 minutes ago, snywx said: Most of Orange county is in the 5-6" range now. Looks like the interior is doing well again Not home to measure. When I left around dawn there was 3.5 inches. Didn't think we would come close to doubling that this morning on the rotting fringe with banding just to my East. Just having 4 feet fall in 11 days in March with another potential noreaster on the horizon is astounding. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 3.75" here. Did you get a measurement @rgwp96? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 44 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: 3.75" here. Did you get a measurement @rgwp96? Called in 3.5. I had 3.3on car top and 3.8 on old snow . I just took the average . Was hard to tell which was the old snow exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 A touch over 5" on the old snow and 4" everywhere else. Looks like the back edge band has fallen apart and won't make it here before dissipating completely so I guess that's it for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 2 hours ago, West Mtn NY said: How the hell I have 5.5 inches here in Monroe which as of the 8:50 update is the highest accumulation in the whole coverage area including Suffolk is amazing. 47.5" in 11 days. 4 feet is a great month for any month, for only 11 days in March that's bordering on historic. Next Tuesday could make it historic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Early thoughts on next weeks storm potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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