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Convective Thread

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As we head towards the prime of severe weather season it's time to throw up a thread to discuss all setups, events, and what happens during events.  It appears that late evening/overnight will feature the potential for perhaps a few lines of thunderstorms to work through portions of New England.  While the timing is certainly not favorable, steep mid-level lapse rates and increasing 0-6km shear ahead of the approaching s/w will help keep these thunderstorms intact as they push into New England.  The possibility for a severe t'storm can't be ruled out (especially western sections) but loss of daytime heating and increasing CIN will likely preclude much of a severe risk here.  A good light show though may be in store for some folks!

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NAM and GFS keep some decent instability in place through the night.  At BDL NAM has 500+ hail cape and GFS up around 350 J/KG...not bad at all.  Definitely can't rule out some hail potential but this also suggests good light show possible!

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Great setup that loses points to poor timing, in New England. Southwest VT, Northwest MA looks like best chances for severe in our subforum...Probably see cells congeal into an MCS as the sun sets and best instability traverses Albany.

Nice CAPE and BRN parameters out to our west. Looks like supercells in upstate NY with isolated shots at weak twisters...

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2 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said:

Near constant lightning from that Franconia Notch destroyer.  Might have to get my camera out.

Catch yourself a few sprites. They are like the painted bunting of lightning photography.

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Just had pea sized hail for a few minutes in Somers, CT around 1122 PM with the current cell overhead.  Nice lightning show here too and earlier to the north.

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That POU cell is really intriguing...if rotation was a bit tighter and a bit higher velocities...

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6 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

Very possibly the most frequent lightning I've ever seen from that cell... like uninterrupted daylight for 15 minutes.

Are you talking about the cell moving through western CT now?

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1 minute ago, ice1972 said:

Are you talking about the cell moving through western CT now?

Thinking of going to rockledge

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3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Thinking of going to rockledge

Lol.....I was just there an hour ago watching the stuff to the north.....great lightning.....

Unfortunately if this baby holds together the whole house will be awake and my wife would be like "and you were where?".....lol

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1 minute ago, ice1972 said:

Lol.....I was just there an hour ago watching the stuff to the north.....great lightning.....

Unfortunately if this baby holds together the whole house will be awake and my wife would be like "and you were where?".....lol

:lmao:

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