Tarheel17 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like light snow breaking out over western half of NC at hr 114, but yes, looks fairly dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Pretty good event 1-3" with the initial wave RDU west mainly in mountains an piedmont of Nc by 136hrSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, packbacker said: Full blown PAC ridge. So close to something better. Well there's a first. Probably going to see a whole lot of nothing with this run. Looks like we're setting up for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 All hail the ukmet. It stayed rock steady with cold press.and the cold ain't gonna be a problem, that's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Just a little progressive....I would still take this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Lost all sw flow, ie moisture source overuning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 4 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Well there's a first. Probably going to see a whole lot of nothing with this run. Looks like we're setting up for that. I don't see a 2nd wave. If the PAC ridge would spike a little more it may get a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Well there's a first. Probably going to see a whole lot of nothing with this run. Looks like we're setting up for that.Could still be something...ridge is insnane out west this run, any energy swinging down sheared out or not has the chance to connect. We will see. It's going to be a looong week of changes coming, models can't stay consistent at all right now. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 High ratio snow with that first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: I don't see a 2nd wave. If the PAC ridge would spike a little more it may get a little better. I am really ok with squashed/suppressed on the GFS at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Lost all sw flow, ie moisture source overuning Turn into old fashion PAC ridge trough trying to deepen and go negative. Be nice if a little piece of energy would drop into the base of trough or taller ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: I don't see a 2nd wave. If the PAC ridge would spike a little more it may get a little better. It will..... It has been trending towards a taller ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 CMC wants nothing to do with PAC ridge. Let's see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 1 minute ago, Jon said: Could still be something...ridge is insnane out west this run, any energy swinging down sheared out or not has the chance to connect. We will see. It's going to be a looong week of changes coming, models can't stay consistent at all right now. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk What a turnaround for this model over the last few cycles. From a stout SER to a west coast ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Just now, Cold Rain said: What a turnaround for this model over the last few cycles. From a stout SER to a west coast ridge. Reminds me of...13/14? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 A little dusting in northern Florida at 165hr...Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 All hail the ukmet. It stayed rock steady with cold press.and the cold ain't gonna be a problem, that's for sureFor the WNC piedmont, highs don't get above mid 20s next Fri and Sat according to 00z GFS. Snow will stick around...Sent from my 6045O using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Just now, Queencitywx said: High ratio snow with that first wave. Yep. All energy is ns. But we are just getting to the starting line for this race sunday night. Be several twist trying to time these vorts. Very encouraged the cold is there consistently and for NC we are consistently getting hit with the ns energy enough to produce a couple 1-3 events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: Reminds me of...13/14? Yeah man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Just now, calculus1 said: For the WNC piedmont, highs don't get above mid 20s next Fri and Sat according to 00z GFS. Snow will stick around... Sent from my 6045O using Tapatalk I keep beating this drum but that's a high ratio snow for I-40 areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AshevilleCityWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 1-2" of dry snow won't be melting until Saturday afternoon....if we manage 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 I keep beating this drum but that's a high ratio snow for I-40 areas.It would be very nice to get that type of snow event here. They are so few and far between. None of this 7:1 crap. Let's see some 20:1 ratios!Sent from my 6045O using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AshevilleCityWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, calculus1 said: For the WNC piedmont, highs don't get above mid 20s next Fri and Sat according to 00z GFS. Snow will stick around... No it looks to all melt Sat even in the foothills. Above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Energy misses south. It's over Miami at 180...haha. This run is likely not even close, but the initial wave was interesting Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 I love clippers! They give me my biggest snows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 By oz tommorrow night we should have a more consistent idea. It's all about the energy, waves,vorts whatever you want to call it. Cold is their butbthis energy needs to get on west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 The high ratio snow disappears at the drop of a hat. It doesn't take much. Sure the stuff in the shade will stay around, but sun and 25 will take care of 1-2" of high ration snow in just a few hours. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 No it looks to all melt Sat even in the foothills. Above freezing.Yep. I didn't have the 18z numbers (156) for Saturday when I made my post. That's what I get for extrapolating from 12z (150) numbers.Sent from my 6045O using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 4 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: By oz tommorrow night we should have a more consistent idea. It's all about the energy, waves,vorts whatever you want to call it. Cold is their butbthis energy needs to get on west coast. I think it will take longer than 24 hours to iron things out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 JB is riding the JMA! Says it still has east coast storm, and as y'all stated, trust no models at this point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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