BooneWX Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Imo we can't really complain about a modest storm when, just a few weeks ago, we had above normal temps with no apparent end in sight. A few inches will be welcomed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 20 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Too be fair we had a jackpot storm last year... Listen bro we are due jackpots yearly. This is the mountain thread not the freaking coastal plains thread that receives 1 inch of snow a year. My climo snowfall is around 40 plus inches. That means we get snow quite a bit considering where we are located. Don't be scared to want more bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 18 minutes ago, PisgahNCWeather said: I know. It's just the weather we have had ever since then. Time to put an end to this boring stretch. I agree. I feel we will win out no matter the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 14 minutes ago, Meteorhobbyist said: Imo we can't really complain about a modest storm when, just a few weeks ago, we had above normal temps with no apparent end in sight. A few inches will be welcomed. Agreed. A few inches would lift the spirits just like a good liquor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 hour ago, Meteorhobbyist said: Imo we can't really complain about a modest storm when, just a few weeks ago, we had above normal temps with no apparent end in sight. A few inches will be welcomed. Why is someone who studies meteors for a hobby wandering around a weather forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I like where most are sitting currently. I believe the SW mountains will jackpot hut most will see some snow. Don't sleep on the first wave though. It keeps looking a bit better for us. A shift NW from the gfs will come or the low will be tracking unto Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, jburns said: Why is someone who studies meteors for a hobby wandering around a weather forum? Bruh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, Meteorhobbyist said: Bruh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 All I need is a 400 mile jump NW and it'll be game on for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Ill be honest guys......idk what to think. I hope for a NW turn but.......smh lol Glad this is the only addiction i have lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Jason Boyer just "guaranteed" this won't be anything major. Just some light snow in places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: Jason Boyer just "guaranteed" this won't be anything major. Just some light snow in places. Fritschy made note of that in the other thread. A lot of confidence for 4 days out. He even had an accumulation map showing 2 inches for the mountains. He could very well be right, but seems just a little premature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: Fritschy made note of that in the other thread. A lot of confidence for 4 days out. He even had an accumulation map showing 2 inches for the mountains. He could very well be right, but seems just a little premature. Right. That's 2 inches in the mountains. Not where you live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Listen bro we are due jackpots yearly. This is the mountain thread not the freaking coastal plains thread that receives 1 inch of snow a year. My climo snowfall is around 40 plus inches. That means we get snow quite a bit considering where we are located. Don't be scared to want more bro. You make me laugh. I just try not to be greedy. Trust me though, I want more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: Right. That's 2 inches in the mountains. Not where you live. Ha! Good point. He just covered the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I'll take 2" solid and run to the bank down here in the foothills! With a season avg of 6" , 2 would be fine. Still time however Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Hahaha you bruhs are cracking me up. I think the models have a lot of work to do before Saturday. Way too early for Boyer to make guarantees. Nailing down northern stream interaction, tilt of storm when it gets to gulf, timing of first wave (which will bring more snow then most expect Thursday), and resolving whether wave interacts with Great Lakes Low and placement Atlantic Highs takes a lot of math. That is an unusually high number of puzzle pieces for models to put together, not to mention topographic challenges when the system reaches the Apps. Still large amounts of room for adjustment and watch Thursday like Met1985 mentioned.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, Hvward said: Hahaha you bruhs are cracking me up. I think the models have a lot of work to do before Saturday. Way too early for Boyer to make guarantees. Nailing down northern stream interaction, tilt of storm when it gets to gulf, timing of first wave (which will bring more snow then most expect Thursday), and resolving whether wave interacts with Great Lakes Low and placement Atlantic Highs takes a lot of math. That is an unusually high number of puzzle pieces for models to put together, not to mention topographic challenges when the system reaches the Apps. Still large amounts of room for adjustment and watch Thursday like Met1985 mentioned. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk My only problem, just being with the current models, specifically the GFS, I'm too far north to be excited right now so I'm just gonna relax and not think too much about the storm until something changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 16 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: My only problem, just being with the current models, specifically the GFS, I'm too far north to be excited right now so I'm just gonna relax and not think too much about the storm until something changes. NO freaking way the low runs to south Florida. Iv seen the GFS do this crap before. It's out to lunch and will be back in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 22 minutes ago, Hvward said: Hahaha you bruhs are cracking me up. I think the models have a lot of work to do before Saturday. Way too early for Boyer to make guarantees. Nailing down northern stream interaction, tilt of storm when it gets to gulf, timing of first wave (which will bring more snow then most expect Thursday), and resolving whether wave interacts with Great Lakes Low and placement Atlantic Highs takes a lot of math. That is an unusually high number of puzzle pieces for models to put together, not to mention topographic challenges when the system reaches the Apps. Still large amounts of room for adjustment and watch Thursday like Met1985 mentioned. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Hey Bruh! Lol good analysis and yes we have a lot of time left. Yes do not sleep on Thursdays wave. It looks much more interesting currently. Keep us poster bruh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, Met1985 said: NO freaking way the low runs to south Florida. Iv seen the GFS do this crap before. It's out to lunch and will be back in a bit. It actually wouldn't surprise me unless it interacts with the artic jet. There's nothing to really pull it north unless the SER strengthens or like I mentioned it interacting with the jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Actually, the Thursday system might end up good for me. 2-3 inches on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: It actually wouldn't surprise me unless it interacts with the artic jet. There's nothing to really pull it north unless the SER strengthens or like I mentioned it interacting with the jet. Systems just don't drop south for nothing. We have absolutely no blocking at all. No negative NAO at all. Just my opinion and you don't see that very often as hurricanes come up through the Gulf not north to south. That's not our pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 NO freaking way the low runs to south Florida. Iv seen the GFS do this crap before. It's out to lunch and will be back in a bit.Agree! This idea of fast and south isn't adding up to me. No blocking up north. Nice cold antecedent conditions. Nearly every year the GFS starts with this super south low and every 6 hour run moves it north 25 miles. We already saw that with the 18Z. I mean, Birmingham, AL would get more snow than most places up north. Not saying that couldn't happen, but is really difficult to pin down at 4+ days. I think 00Z tomorrow runs will be the set to watch (not tonight and not 12Z tomorrow either). System will be sampled late tomorrow and might even be close enough to get a good satellite representation by then too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob2016 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Hey all... Just heard moments ago about winter storm Helena is heading this way.. also temperature suppose to drop down by 4pm tomorrow afternoon.then Friday evening we are suppose to be getting snow here until Saturday afternoon.. they said it was going to spread snow from Jackson Mississippi all the way up here. And snow all the way across eastern NC towards the beach including states of Mississippi.alabama.into Georgia south Carolina part of it.. to where we all are so far they haven't said yet what the accumulations will be but very cold air will push south..and are watching for ice that is a new concern.. Asheville is suppose to get down to 11 degrees.so I am watching for changes.due to that weather i just heard.well we may get more winter storms after this one..who knows what's gonna happen all we can do is watch for it.. I am getting stuff ready for snow cream to make Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 2 hours ago, HurricaneTracker said: Agree! This idea of fast and south isn't adding up to me. No blocking up north. Nice cold antecedent conditions. Nearly every year the GFS starts with this super south low and every 6 hour run moves it north 25 miles. We already saw that with the 18Z. I mean, Birmingham, AL would get more snow than most places up north. Not saying that couldn't happen, but is really difficult to pin down at 4+ days. I think 00Z tomorrow runs will be the set to watch (not tonight and not 12Z tomorrow either). System will be sampled late tomorrow and might even be close enough to get a good satellite representation by then too. Yep completely agree. I remember either last year or the year before it pulled some super low track the all if a sudden it bounced back north in a big way. I think this will happen also this time around. 4 days is a long time dealing with this little system. We have already seen a LOT of different looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 20 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yep completely agree. I remember either last year or the year before it pulled some super low track the all if a sudden it bounced back north in a big way. I think this will happen also this time around. 4 days is a long time dealing with this little system. We have already seen a LOT of different looks. Met, I've see it go from Southern Georgia to a cutter in 4 runs. Not saying this time around but more times than not, I'm with you guys, it will come NW. It's been such weird year though we might get thunder snow and it starts a forest fire. Who knows at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: Met, I've see it go from Southern Georgia to a cutter in 4 runs. Not saying this time around but more times than not, I'm with you guys, it will come NW. It's been such weird year though we might get thunder snow and it starts a forest fire. Who knows at this point. Lol no freaking kidding! Lol comment of the day! It has been a very weird season but hey its 2017 now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 6 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: Met, I've see it go from Southern Georgia to a cutter in 4 runs. Not saying this time around but more times than not, I'm with you guys, it will come NW. It's been such weird year though we might get thunder snow and it starts a forest fire. Who knows at this point. I feel like that bottom line should be saved in a history museum or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 In other news, the beginning of the 0z NAM is a horror movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.