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WPAC, Indian Ocean, and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones


1900hurricane
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1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Zelia has rapidly intensified into a beast. Pretty sparse area but there are a few towns that may get hit. Absolutely crazy RI 

We are sitting here on the edge of our seats trying to figure out where this beast is gonna go. I've never seen so much disagreement and divergence between models and ensembles in this short of a timeframe. If this ends up tracking further west than expected as some of the ensembles suggest, we are gonna be in serious trouble here in Exmouth.

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There are two typhoons, Neoguri and Ragasa. Neoguri as at 95 kt, and Ragasa is at 100 kt and heading toward the strait of Taiwan, eventually towards Hong Kong as a large storm. It is expected to reach peak intensity of 135 kt (category 5) at the strait of Taiwan, so I'd expect a large amount of rain is heading for Hong Kong. The WPAC has been very below normal ACE.

WQUmRz2.gif

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On 9/20/2025 at 3:23 PM, NorthHillsWx said:

Ragasa is looking mean this morning. I’m shocked Josh is chasing this, looks like it is traveling between the uprights in terms of splitting the populated islands in the area

I take back what I said, I didn’t realize he would chase into China. Looks strongly like he got the eye of a likely still major storm. Good for him this was a wild chase I can’t wait to see his videos 

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Not sure what intensity exactly Ragasa was at when it made landfall. Maybe a low-end Cat 3? According to Wikipedia, the Chinese coast saw impressively high wind speeds/gusts:

At 12:00 CST on September 24 the coastal city of Jiangmen experienced its highest wind speed ever recorded at 67 m/s (220 ft/s), equivalent to 241 km/h (150 mph).”

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19 minutes ago, gallopinggertie said:

Not sure what intensity exactly Ragasa was at when it made landfall. Maybe a low-end Cat 3? According to Wikipedia, the Chinese coast saw impressively high wind speeds/gusts:

At 12:00 CST on September 24 the coastal city of Jiangmen experienced its highest wind speed ever recorded at 67 m/s (220 ft/s), equivalent to 241 km/h (150 mph).”

It was very likely right at cat 3

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