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andyhb

May 7th-9th Severe Weather Episodes

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Cell SW of Lawton getting that look.

Starting to develop a hook and get that "bird wing" look.

 

Cell west of Watonga is not too bad either. 

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Wonder what everybody would've been thinking if hi-res models had been showing something like this, but at 00z...  

post-7962-0-22642000-1462747746_thumb.gi

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Think it is unwise to be calling this as we enter primetime. Near-sfc inflow is coming from the SE, why would that stuff in TX totally cut that off? Plus the stuff in TX is barely organized aside from the storm near ABI.

 

No, what I meant was either way the outcome would not be that different in OK regardless if the storms initiated now or earlier. Not a problem now but could be later as convective clusters propagate faster than supercells. (Also the HRRR suggests this scenario.)

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Frederick cell appears to have a rotating wall per streams on Severe Studios. Or is at least developing one.

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I've been sitting underneath a rotating wall cloud here on top of my house in Stapleton (Denver metro) that isn't warned. I can't figure out what's going on with BOU - but they should have put a TOR warning on this 10 minutes ago.

any severe weather by northeast Denver?

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any severe weather by northeast Denver?

There is just east of the airport. I am stuck in an airplane on the tarmac in Tulsa due to full ground stop at DIA

Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
557 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHEASTERN GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...  
 
* UNTIL 630 PM CDT  
 
* AT 556 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF  
QUINTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.  
 
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. AT 548 PM CDT...A  
RAIN WRAPPED TORNADO WAS REPORTED SOUTH OF GOVE.

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Wonder what everybody would've been thinking if hi-res models had been showing something like this, but at 00z...

About the same as now, given three of the 4 main storms in OK are left splits.

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About the same as now, given three of the 4 main storms in OK are left splits.

If you did not know something like that is what I was going for..

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
609 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...  
 
* UNTIL 645 PM CDT  
 
* AT 608 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO  
WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF GERONIMO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...TORNADO AND BASEBALL SIZE HAIL.  
 
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
 
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT  
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.  
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE  
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.   
  
 

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
609 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
KSC195-082330-  
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160508T2330Z/  
TREGO KS-  
609 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL  
TREGO COUNTY...  
 
AT 608 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED VERY NEAR TREGO  
CENTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND BASEBALL SIZE HAIL.   
  

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
622 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
KSC195-082330-  
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160508T2330Z/  
TREGO KS-  
622 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR EAST  
CENTRAL TREGO COUNTY...  
 
AT 622 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF  
OGALLAH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND BASEBALL SIZE HAIL.  
 
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

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Beginning to think NW KS was the play. Storms across S OK are pushing out of the uncapped environment and seem like they're about begin weakening. Just in time for the low level wind fields to improve.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
629 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
KSC051-195-090000-  
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160509T0000Z/  
TREGO KS-ELLIS KS-  
629 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR  
NORTHEASTERN TREGO AND NORTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTIES...  
 
AT 628 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED VERY NEAR OGALLAH...  
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND TWO INCH HAIL.  
 
SOURCE...PUBLIC CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
 
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT  
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE  
TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS  
LIKELY.  
 
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
ELLIS...OGALLAH AND RIGA.  
 
AT 616 PM...TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 14 MILES SOUTH OF  
OGALLAH. TAKE COVER NOW.   
 

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Beginning to think NW KS was the play. Storms across S OK are pushing out of the uncapped environment and seem like they're about begin weakening. Just in time for the low level wind fields to improve.

Yeah... Lawton cell beginning to look less impressive in all aspects. Might just be cycling though...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS  
633 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHWESTERN DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS...  
CENTRAL RED WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA...  
 
* UNTIL 700 PM CDT  
 
* AT 632 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR INDIANOLA...OR  
13 MILES EAST OF MCCOOK...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...TORNADO.  
 
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. AT 625 PM CDT...A  
TORNADO WAS REPORTED SOUTH OF INDIANOLA.

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