RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I'm really liking St. Louis to get 6" out of this. @ Hoosier. I was posting the SREF too. I didn't think you were trolling. I think 6-8" is a good call there, especially if temps hold and the lower level saturates quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Skilling during 4:17pm broadcast: "I think we may have a blizzard on the way...or close to it" -Talked about the big winds coming down the lake...gusts up to 50mph tomorrow evening -Labeled it as "major winter storm" -"Could devolve into blizzard" 4-8 inches in city. 10-12 south of city. 3 inches in Joliet. Nothing really west of Joliet Wintry mix possible in the morning south of the city. Changing to all snow quickly, will be heavy at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 and +1 for ABC World News Yeah really, haha. That looks sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Not going to name names but I was actually accused of trolling by talking about the SREF. I guess there could be some argument for that if it was way out on its own with nothing else even close, but you can't really say that's the case. It almost feels like people take this stuff personally sometimes. It's a weather forum and most of us here like snow but at the end of the day it's just that, snow. Whatever will be will be, and as usual, we'll find out which models did better than others. A trolling moderator. Yep, that's you for sure Hoosier! You know a storm is coming when people start getting pissy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Not really optimism just using the context clues given. It probably won't matter in the long run but it is something to monitor. I guess there isn't much else to realistically look forward to, so fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I'm really liking St. Louis to get 6" out of this. @ Hoosier. I was posting the SREF too. I didn't think you were trolling. Double it please:) Going with 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 STL getting crushed! Yeah really, haha. That looks sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michigander Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Skilling during 4:17pm broadcast: ... Have been wondering what Tom is thinking. Appreciate his call vs the the 1" - 7" cop out from LOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 hrrrx_ref_mc_24.png2.png Would need to tack on a few extras rows of counties to the warning with that. Would be much better in your hood out towards me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Gonna be razor thin down here in STL City. NW cutoff is likely going to be ridiculously sharp with the insane mesoscale forcing some of these progs are spitting out. You're in it or you're not. Also -- worried a bit that the wind is going to get underplayed. That LLJ is sitting awfully close to the surface and with some surface/near-surface dry advection likely impinging on the west/northwest flank there's gonna be a mixed layer to contend with. GFS and NAM have been hinting at that pretty strongly. Momentum transfer on BUFKIT is your friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Have been wondering what Tom is thinking. Appreciate his call vs the the 1" - 7" cop out from LOT. FWIW he also thinks the models pretty much have this system nailed down as far as the heavy snow goes and if the heavy snow isn't in will/cook counties and nw indiana, it'll be darn close to those spots. edit- changed to nw indiana. also rush hour tomorrow evening should be the height of the storm. precip starts between 6am-9am tomorrow north to south in the chicagoland area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Gonna be razor thin down here in STL City. NW cutoff is likely going to be ridiculously sharp with the insane mesoscale forcing some of these progs are spitting out. You're in it or you're not. Also -- worried a bit that the wind is going to get underplayed. That LLJ is sitting awfully close to the surface and with some surface/near-surface dry advection likely impinging on the west/northwest flank there's gonna be a mixed layer to contend with. GFS and NAM have been hinting at that pretty strongly. Momentum transfer on BUFKIT is your friend! South County looking good Northwest burbs going to be close.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Csnavywx is the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Just listened to Skilling he seems confident in his call. He said get ready for a horrendous rush hour tomorrow evening. RGEM. Low position and radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 IWX mentioned if models trend more cold later tonight and or if the GFS folds, places will get sig. more From all the models being too warm this could be quite bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Satellite is already impressive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 IWX mentioned if models trend less cold later tonight and or if the GFS folds, places will get sig. more From all the models being too warm this could be quite bad Thermals suck. No weenieing around it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 IWX mentioned if models trend less cold later tonight and or if the GFS folds, places will get sig. more From all the models being too warm this could be quite bad "Places"? Which places? Bad for what? Very confused haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Never change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 "Places"? Which places? Bad for what? Very confused haha. All of their northern CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 "Places"? Which places? Bad for what? Very confused haha. His backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 All of their northern CWA Okay haha jw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 IWX mentioned if models trend more cold later tonight and or if the GFS folds, places will get sig. mite From all the models being too warm this could be quite bad Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 The pivot and destroy on the RAP/HRRR is pure model porn. Just be careful not to get too wrapped up. Pay attention to that f-gen band out in C. Missouri. It's going to end up being important in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 22z RAP looks like it nudged west a little - so far. Staying clear as the sun sinks. Hopefully it can cool off into the 20s before the clouds blanket the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I dont get what everyone finds so funny, this is an extremely complex system and a little change could make or break your total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I dont get what everyone finds so funny, this is an extremely complex system and a little change could make or break your total. It's just that every post you make is about you and only you. You couldn't care less about what will actually happen with the system regarding everywhere else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M4XiMuS Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 The pivot and destroy on the RAP/HRRR is pure model porn. Just be careful not to get too wrapped up. Pay attention to that f-gen band out in C. Missouri. It's going to end up being important in the end. For the novices on this board, such as myself, can you expound on why the f-gen band currently pushing across MO is so important? Will it play a role in saturating the lower levels? Or the opposite? Appreciate the education! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 21z HRRR is 984mb just south of Evansville end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.