Hoosier Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 text for Lake/Porter says potential isolated amounts up to 18" and this ... INZ001-002-241730- /O.EXT.KLOT.LS.W.0001.160224T1800Z-160225T1600Z/ LAKE IN-PORTER- 322 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016 ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 AM CST THURSDAY... * LAKE SHORE FLOODING...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 55 MPH WILL ALLOW WAVES TO BUILD TO 15 TO 20 FEET ACROSS THE NORTHWEST INDIANA SHORES OF LAKE MICHIGAN RESULTING IN LAKESHORE FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Updated meso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M4XiMuS Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 NWS STL just upgraded to a WSW 5-7" Gusts to 45mph Took far too long - although I'm certainly smack dab in the middle of the precip shield cutoff. Work likely will be closed as a result of the WSW, so no complaints here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 It's a blizzard out there currently. Nothing sticking yet. Winds gusting to 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Interesting to note, models had the low closed off below 540dm at this point (09z). Right now, it's still an open wave at 546dm. Here are the 500s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Interesting to note, models had the low closed off below 540dm at this point (09z). Right now, it's still an open wave at 546dm. Nice trends thus far. Should be a sneaky one for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I've been updated to 8-12". This is the real deal. Could be top 5 storm of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Here are the 500s. It does show a very tiny 540dm contour on that map. I was looking at this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2016 Author Share Posted February 24, 2016 Low deepened 2mb in the last hour per SPC map loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 I've been updated to 8-12". This is the real deal. Could be top 5 storm of my life. I wouldn't be surprised if ILX upgrades to a Blizzard Warning for Danville/Champaign/Decatur a lot of the forecast text mentions gust to 50! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Low deepened 2mb in the last hour per SPC map loop. Down to 988mb. Best pressure falls are now over Cincinnati, but that doesn't necessarily mean the low center will track there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 345 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016 SHORT TERM 345 AM CST THROUGH THURSDAY... APOLOGIZE FOR RUNNING A LITTLE LATE THIS MORNING...VERY BUSY SHIFT AS YOU CAN IMAGINE. OVERALL THINKING FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTS LARGELY UNCHANGED. HAVE OPTED TO UPGRADE PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA TO A BLIZZARD WARNING...AS CONFIDENCE HAS GROWN REGARDING THE LONGEST DURATION PLACEMENT OF THE MOST INTENSE SNOW BAND. STILL APPEARS THERE WILL BE A VERY SHARP CUT OFF TO THE SNOW ON THE WESTERN FLANKS...WITH POTENTIALLY UP TO A 10 INCH OR MORE GRADIENT FROM FAR SE COOK TO FAR NW COOK COUNTY. STILL ANTICIPATE CHARACTER OF THE SNOW TO BE HEAVY...WET...AND NOT PARTICULARLY BLOWABLE...HOWEVER THE FALLING SNOW ALONE IN THE HEAVIEST BAND(S) SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM KNOCKING VISIBILITIES TO ONE QUARTER MILE. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUST TO 45 MPH WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN WIND WHIPPED SNOW CAUSING WHITE OUT CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN WHERE GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE BLIZZARD WARNING...PERIODIC WHITE AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH AND SNOWFALL GRADIENT SHOULD BE LARGER...SO OPTED TO MAKE NO CHANGES TO REMAINDER OF THE INHERITED HEADLINES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING...THOUGH SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT TO THE SNOW COULD KEEP INTENSITY UP INTO THE NIGHT OVER NORTHWEST INDIANA. GIVEN THE LIKELIHOOD OF MESOSCALE BANDING...IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL NEED TO BE TWEAKED SOME DURING THE EVENT. HOWEVER...FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE AVAILABLE SUITE OF HIRES MESOSCALE MODELS HAS ADDED SOME DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL MAP. GENERALLY LOOKING FOR A SWATH OF 6 TO 14 INCHES OF SNOW FROM FORD/IROQUOIS COUNTIES NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHWEST INDIANA. MULTIPLE MODELS SUGGEST THE PIVOT POINT FOR THE DEFORMATION BAND WILL BE OVER EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA...WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH SOME POSSIBLE MINOR LAKE ENHANCEMENT COULD RESULT IN MAX SNOWFALL TOTALS APPROACHING A FOOT AND A HALF IN SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS BY LATE TONIGHT. IZZI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Blizzard warning has been hoisted. Should start to see things kick into gear, 33.8 degrees and light rain and very gusty winds right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 A few wet snowflakes trying to mix in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 started as sleet here coming down pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Light freezing rain to start out here. Just below freezing at 31.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Still 36 here. I really should get to bed, but I have nowhere to be later on. Went against the grain and called off for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Looking like NW Ohio is going to lose out on this one. Just two days ago we were jackpot. Oh well NOAA is saying 4-6" for us. Is that too high? Thanks Scott! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 If only 850 temps were 2 degrees colder. So close yet so far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Still no AFD from IND or IWX. Wonder what is brewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 seriously impressive win for the Euro/GGEM with bonus points to the SREF lessons learned: the Euro is still the king of weather models and when half the SREF members are showing DAB, ignore the mean. next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Sitting here waiting to see what schools do today with things happening a bit quicker. Could be a mess with it at 32 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 IWX just issued a Blizzard Warning for the western part of their CWA: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA529 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016...BLIZZARD LIKELY TO MAKE TRAVEL NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TODAY INTOTHIS EVENING OVER NORTHWEST INDIANA...INZ003-004-012>015-020-241900-/O.NEW.KIWX.BZ.W.0001.160224T1300Z-160225T0300Z//O.EXT.KIWX.WS.W.0003.160225T0300Z-160225T2100Z/LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-WHITE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...MONON529 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 /429 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016/...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EST /7 AM CST/ THISMORNING TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING......WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED ABLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EST /7 AM CST/THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. THE WINTERSTORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THISEVENING TO 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THURSDAY.HAZARDOUS WEATHER...* SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING POSSIBLYBEGINNING AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. BLIZZARDCONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MIDEVENING.* STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES AREEXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHERACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO AS MUCH AS 2INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MID EVENING.* NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THENORTHWEST THIS EVENING. GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WILL RESULT INNEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND WHITE OUT CONDITIONS ATTIMES...ESPECIALLY IN RURAL AREAS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGHMID EVENING.IMPACTS...* TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE QUICKLY THISMORNING...WITH THE MOST HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS OCCURRING FROMLATE MORNING THROUGH MID EVENING WHEN TRAVEL MAY BECOMEIMPOSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Updated meso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The only thing that could save me is dynamic cooling. The 850's imby have cooled since start of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 Critical thickness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 39, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 The 10z RAP keeps Toronto all snow until about 3pm this afternoon with just over 1" of QPF at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 24, 2016 Share Posted February 24, 2016 A ton of freezing rain this morning right now in NW Ohio. Car is just caked in ice Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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