Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Yea, at this point, I'm not really blinking until I see a major snowstorm modeled on reliable guidance inside of 72 hours.lol can't remember a storm where we have locked in prior to 72, the ebb and flow here is hilarious. There is a huge disconnect between what we often discuss about model outputs and what most of us would forecast. Too many years of things changing in 12 hrs. Best to be Euro like and evolve slowly. Especially with snow 50 miles can be huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 lol can't remember a storm where we have locked in prior to 72, the ebb and flow here is hilarious. There is a huge disconnect between what we often discuss about model outputs and what most of us would forecast. Too many years of things changing in 12 hrs. Best to be Euro like and evolve slowly. Especially with snow 50 miles can be huge. Who said that? Just show me one run of a reliable model within 72 and I'm in. My one last hope is early March, but I have one foot out the door....this season is taking on the appeal of early Feb 2010, when I called the season and everyone flipped, but it ended up being a good call. This season has that stink to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Who said that? Just show me one run of a reliable model within 72 and I'm in. My one last hope is early March, but I have one foot out the door....this season is taking on the appeal of early Feb 2010, when I called the season and everyone flipped, but it ended up being a good call. This season has that stink to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I was as hopeful for this winter as anyone, but the time comes when you just need to throw up your arms and admit that "it blows".... Just some bad luck and the absents of a -nao. Still enjoy reading your seasonal thoughts. I agree it's time to just move on to other things as the clock is ticking and week 3-4 looking great on the weeklies is not very inspiring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The cutter on the heels of the coldest air in 60 years, followed by the inexorable, albeit methodical deconstruction of next week has sent me over the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Just some bad luck and the absents of a -nao. Still enjoy reading your seasonal thoughts. I agree it's time to just move on to other things as the clock is ticking and week 3-4 looking great on the weeklies is not very inspiring. I'm happy with the outlook. I missed the NAO, and missed the 3rd largest blizzard in history by an eskimo queef, but aside from that, it worked out well. Don't get me wrong....my grade will reflect the short comings....no excuses. It all evens out.....my outlook last year looked amazing, but I got lucky. This year looks bad, but I got porked. The aggregate effort is good, not bad, not great. It is what it is. I'll try to do better next year, and in the mean time, hope to salvage something more in the home stretch of this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Melted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You're an Incredible Forecaster Ray. I know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Couple of solid threats on LR modeling. Should be some interesting times over the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Melted You bet your GGW a$$ I did, and it feels good. F*c( this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You're an Incredible Forecaster Ray. I know that. Better than I was a few years back, which is good enough for me. Incredible group I've been a part of is the main reason why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You bet your GGW a$$ I did, and it feels good. F*c( this winter. 21 gun salute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 21 bun salute FYP GGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 FYP GGWyea that too. Feel better now get your head out of your arse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 We wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I actually feel somewhat fortunate around here. The winter has not been great, but we again mounted a 10"+ storm in a sea of meh. Closing in on 30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I actually feel somewhat fortunate around here. The winter has not been great, but we again mounted a 10"+ storm in a sea of meh. Closing in on 30". Vomit King Weymouth Man, I hope you rain a lot in the near future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Vomit King Weymouth Man, I hope you rain a lot in the near future Well it's better to my south Everyone hates me. I can take it, it's ok. At least you have snow right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I actually feel somewhat fortunate around here. The winter has not been great, but we again mounted a 10"+ storm in a sea of meh. Closing in on 30".best most damaging paste storm since 97 here, still seeing lots of damage around. Then the coldest wind chill since 94. Let's see what the next 3 weeks bring This is my land right next to my driveway. It's like this everywhere up here. Crazy week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Well it's better to my south Everyone hates me. I can take it, it's ok. At least you have snow right now. You've been stealing my damn snow for two years running. We're pissed, and we're not gonna take it anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 best most damaging paste storm since 97 here, still seeing lots of damage around. Then the coldest wind chill since 94. Let's see what the next 3 weeks bring This is my land right next to my driveway. It's like this everywhere up here. Crazy week Fingers crossed that's seen again im by next week with ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Surprising amount of snow cover in the woods way down in SECT at work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 best most damaging paste storm since 97 here, still seeing lots of damage around. Then the coldest wind chill since 94. Let's see what the next 3 weeks bring This is my land right next to my driveway. It's like this everywhere up here. Crazy week Definitely some decent damage. Still looks like a sea breeze compared to Feb 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I think blows was the right description for this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You've been stealing my damn snow for two years running. We're pissed, and we're not gonna take it anymore. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HXjb1WopGzQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I think blows was the right description for this winter It's a bit early to issue a final grade but a big fat F written in red pen is my current grade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 It's a bit early to issue a final grade but a big fat F written in red pen is my current grade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I like the look on the weeklies. Climo starts to hurt us a bit with temps in March but 500 mb looks really nice. Adding a negative NAO to a +PNA can only help, and the EPO tanks pretty good towards the middle of the month. Sitting at 18 inches of snow now and looking at the weeklies, I'm starting to feel like I may come close to escaping ratter material here which in my mind is under 35. Dead ratter for me is under 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 It's a bit early to issue a final grade but a big fat F written in red pen is my current grade It would need one hell of a finale to get me to one letter north of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Definitely some decent damage. Still looks like a sea breeze compared to Feb 2013.yea Marshfield FTW with that but this is just my yard. Heard crazy stories from our on call Electrician today of power on for hours to houses with dancing wires down arcing all around and Eversource not showing up for hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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