neff Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 People are morons. Had to set them straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 FWIW (nothing), the 00z NAM is way north of the 18z NAM. It's even north of the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 FWIW (nothing), the 00z NAM is way north of the 18z NAM. It's even north of the 18z GFSTime to go checkout the MA thread .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 First post on a wx post by a news channel: "Ugh I'm tired of snow this year, we've had enough" Um lady we haven't had .5", shuddup. I'd tell her to move to Florida or Hawaii if she hates it that much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The NAM's still a thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The model consistency at this range is great. Usually it's the Euro showing a good track, the Canadian showing something cutting to Toronto & the GFS taking the Low to Bermuda. Then usually they all come around to a solution Close the the Euro within 48 hours of the event. Today, we have none of that insanity. Hopefully our only question is how much snow. Here's to great 0z model suite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The model consistency at this range is great. Usually it's the Euro showing a good track, the Canadian showing something cutting to Toronto & the GFS taking the Low to Bermuda. Then usually they all come around to a solution Close the the Euro within 48 hours of the event. Today, we have none of that insanity. Hopefully our only question is how much snow. Here's to great 0z model suite! It cant be that easy...A meltdown is coming one way or the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Time to go checkout the MA thread .... Ruh roh..... Been in the back of my mind as much as suppression. All we know is...we have a storm, but where it ends up aint likely where models show it now (and it pains me to say that btw...cause I really really........really like what they showed us today. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 You mean to tell me somebody hasn't taken down these douchebags yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 You mean to tell me somebody hasn't taken down these douchebags yet? They actually just posted a thread in my snowmobiling forum and want people to like, follow....blah blah. I just set em straigh a bit.... If Zak joined them, well then they bother me a little less...he was a good egg IMO. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 0z GFS is rolling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 They actually just posted a thread in my snowmobiling forum and want people to like, follow....blah blah. I just set em straigh a bit.... If Zak joined them, well then they bother me a little less...he was a good egg IMO. Nut If Zak joined them, I would like to have been there for that interview to see if Zak's past commentary came up lol http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41792-central-pa-banter-thread/page-12 Neff's kid was born in that thread too, apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 0z GFS is rolling... and 19 members of CPA crew are trolling..... In the infamous words of Bob Ross (very talented painter from the 70's for all you youngns)..... Think Happy Thoughts... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looks more amped than 18z through 54...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looks more amped than 18z through 54...? where you viewing from. T tidbits out to 36..... dont tell me and ruin the suprise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 where you viewing from. T tidbits out to 36..... dont tell me and ruin the suprise... Stormvista. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 You mean to tell me somebody hasn't taken down these douchebags yet? unfortunately, there are a lot more of those fb/made up dot com places if this one is removed. and one of the big reasons why we continue to have them is that, imho, the weather enterprise is continuing its policy of not employing anywhere enough graduates and enough met forecasters in general. and with the emphasis these days in the private industry on "how much clickbait can you generate to make it worthwhile to hire you" of "how many IT or other personnel can you do the jobs for while trying to concentrate on making a good forecast" not "can you actually forecast well and in a professional manner"; unfortunately these type of places will continue to flourish at a time when we need to increase credibility with the public via WRN, not dilute it further. If these people had some inkling of how professional forecasting was supposed to be done, then I don't think we'd have anywhere near the credibility issue that we do have now. But unfortunately, that type of message won't get through the AMS or NWA leadership because it might actually cost companies money to go more for quality than quantity, and it would mean the NWS offices might actually become fully staffed, not down 1-2 per office even after the latest hiring binge. that all being said and back to the storm in hand, it is starting to look a bit more consistent run to run on this thing, with the GFS for some reason continuing to generate some high-power meso band along US-11/I-81 on the front side, almost disregarding the poconos topographically. even with the 500 low seeming to set up some enhanced banding on the rim of the cold core, i just don't know how the poconos don't get it a lot worse than Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Bloomsburg with that setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 More digging but not as amped it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Even if the snow totals from most of the models over the last couple of days were somehow cut in half, we'd still have the best storm this region has seen since 2010. I don't expect to have that much of a drop off, but it's something to keep in mind that a 6-10 inch storm would be a pretty big deal around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 75, starting to go neutral at H5. Changes from 18z are negligible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Northeast, thanks for the PBP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 90 precip starting to move in. 1004 in SW NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 93 definitely faster than 18z. Already 0.25+ across the state line. MDT 0.10+. Everyone else light. 96 0.5+ around the border. 0.25+ MDT-AOO. 0.10+ elsewhere. 99 0.25+ nearing AVP. 0.5+ to MDT. 0.75+ SC-SE PA. 102 0.25+ for most. 0.5+ confined to eastern LSV. 105 everyone 0.25+. Weaker and faster than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Snowing in pretty much all of PA at 96, light along the NY border, moderate-heavy for the rest. Precip extent looks a little better than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 108 pivoting...0.5+ LSV, still most everyone 0.25+ 111 state line getting hammered by the pivot...0.75-1.00+. Precip lightening elsewhere. Still large 0.25+ swath. 114 LSV hammered. Parts of true central still getting 0.25+. NEPA stuck in the shaft zone with just 0.10+. 117 0.25+ spreads back to NEPA. Southern portions still getting hit 0.5-0.75+. 120 Starting to pull out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 and 19 members of CPA crew are trolling..... In the infamous words of Bob Ross (very talented painter from the 70's for all you youngns)..... Think Happy Thoughts... Nut Bob Ross has seen enough of the GFS through hour 108 to whip this up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Snowing in pretty much all of PA at 96, light along the NY border, moderate-heavy for the rest. Precip extent looks a little better than 12z. 500mb closed low a little further to north than 12z likely contributing to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Bob Ross has seen enough of the GFS through hour 108 to whip this up Preview.jpeg oH my god this is freaking awesome.Almost as awesome as the GFS, that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 from mid atlantic forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 123 0.10+ for most. Extreme NEPA still getting 0.25+. 126 Just lingering SHSN/-SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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