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Ralph Wiggum

January 22-23 Storm Threat

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Glenn is so excited about the blizzard watch he didn't even mention allentown on his forecast haha

LOL .... I have a bad feeling about this one for the Lehigh Valley ..... Suspect we're going to be under a "virga" storm for a long time while Philly gets pounded.    Have seen it before.

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Now that we are getting closer in time frame it looks that DC will really get a wallop.  I personally witnessed the entire city shut down for about 4-5 days to deal with 10 inches of snow.  2'+ would cripple them for who knows how long.  The way they handle snow there you'd think they were in Georgia or Louisiana. 

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Now that we are getting closer in time frame it looks that DC will really get a wallop.  I personally witnessed the entire city shut down for about 4-5 days to deal with 10 inches of snow.  2'+ would cripple them for who knows how long.  The way they handle snow there you'd think they were in Georgia or Louisiana. 

To hear reports, they were just about crippled by light snow last night.

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SOUTH if we down here are to get a significant share. We count too!

Guess that's fair.  We have started getting a bit IMBY in regards to where the storm is going.  That happens when there are cutoffs everywhere for snow on about 3 sides of the storm.

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Good agreement coming In for Philly -- need to get to that point for ABE not the modeled 5-30" spread

i agree, i'm in south whitehall and talk about being on the edge. :unsure:

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Officialy lowering my expectations to 8-12" MECS criteria in upper SEPA - good luck central and south

 

GGEM has slipped south now

Has anyone confirmed how much the GGEM had for SE PA? Good to see it alone with going south, but also strange for that model to show the least.

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Has anyone confirmed how much the GGEM had for SE PA? Good to see it alone with going south, but also strange for that model to show the least.

It's around a foot for Philly area.

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Has anyone confirmed how much the GGEM had for SE PA? Good to see it alone with going south, but also strange for that model to show the least.

tidbits is stuck at hr 30.  Anyone have a GGEM snow map from 12z?

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GGEM is not South. It is now very much inline with other guidance. It adjusted the qpf field by tightening it but H5 and slp position suggest if anything, it ticked north with those features. The models are actually converging rather nicely on a solution.

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GGEM is not South. It is now very much inline with other guidance. It adjusted the qpf field by tightening it but H5 and slp position suggest if anything, it ticked north with those features. The models are actually converging rather nicely on a solution.

 

It doesn't matter. The cut off from the confluence knocks down the percip like a brick wall. It can only reach so far. Ideally, for a more northen solution, you'd want this thing to slow down, and allow that H and confluence to get out of the way as much as possible. But thats looking less and less likely.

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GGEM is not South. It is now very much inline with other guidance. It adjusted the qpf field by tightening it but H5 and slp position suggest if anything, it ticked north with those features. The models are actually converging rather nicely on a solution.

 

It also has what appears to be a weak CCB...

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