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January 2016 BANTER


Isopycnic

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Columbia just updated to:

 

 

 

NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS/ADVISORIES AS
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR SIGNIFICANT ICING TO OCCUR ACROSS FAR
NORTHERN MIDLANDS WITH A GRADIENT TO LESS ICE ACCUMULATION MOVING
SOUTHWARD. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN HOW FAR SOUTH THE SHALLOW COLD
LAYER WILL MAKE IT AND HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM ADVECTION WILL PUSH
AS THE SURFACE LOW APPROACHES AND TRANSITIONS TO THE COASTAL LOW.
THINK FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN COUNTIES SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY
AREA INCLUDING COLUMBIA METRO AND SUMTER AREAS BUT WITH GROUND
TEMPS RELATIVELY WARM AND UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVOLUTION OF THE LOW
LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES THIS FAR SOUTH THINK ANY ICE ACCUMULATION
WILL BE NEGLIBLE AT THIS TIME AND LIKELY TO OCCUR ON TREES AND
ELEVATED SURFACES WITH LITTLE IMPACT ON ROADS. AGAIN...THIS COULD CHANGE WITH NEW MODEL INFORMATION AND OBSERVATIONS LATER TONIGHT. 
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I would like to point out that the RGEM from 12z did have CAE at 51F today and it has verified.  The 06z had 52F.  00z had 49 or so.

 

For the area to get substantial ice, it needs to be 31F or lower.. 27-30F and light rain best.. and not sure we are going to get that cold.

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I would like to point out that the RGEM from 12z did have CAE at 51F today and it has verified.  The 06z had 52F.  00z had 49 or so.

From what I just looked at on a weather site, we aren't predicted to go 32 or under until like 5 am Sat morn. By then the storm is mostly over.

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I would like to point out that the RGEM from 12z did have CAE at 51F today and it has verified.  The 06z had 52F.  00z had 49 or so.

 

For the area to get substantial ice, it needs to be 31F or lower.. 27-30F and light rain best.. and not sure we are going to get that cold.

I hope you are right. I want sleet, snow or nothing.

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I'll take this forecast everyday!!!!

 

.WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
EST SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...SNOW. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 12 INCHES. MUCH COOLER. NEAR STEADY
TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF
SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO
5 INCHES. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR
100 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN
THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. COLD WITH LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. 

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I'll take this forecast everyday!!!!

 

.WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM

EST SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION

OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.

CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...SNOW. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ADDITIONAL SNOW

ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 12 INCHES. MUCH COOLER. NEAR STEADY

TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF

SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO

5 INCHES. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR

100 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION

POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN

THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. COLD WITH LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO

25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. 

BigFrosty, you're getting slammed dude.  I'm thinking you get 15"....  how many years has it been since you've had that much?  Not that many if my memory is serving me correct, didn't you get like 18" or 19" a couple years back?  

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Will be in Clayton by sunrise tomorrow and I see gsp forecasting 4 to 6 inches of snow/sleet by then and an additional 3 to 5 inches of all sleet tomorrow lol...never have seen that much sleet.

 

Damn dude, hope you have 4WD.   I was thinking of heading up to highlands but by the time I get off work it would be kinda pointless.

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BigFrosty, you're getting slammed dude.  I'm thinking you get 15"....  how many years has it been since you've had that much?  Not that many if my memory is serving me correct, didn't you get like 18" or 19" a couple years back?  

yes 19 a couple years ago. Don't see that much! I thought then I would never see one like that again (and still may not) but it is on the table it appears! Good luck too all !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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