josh_4184 Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Euro says no snow for pretty much everyone including Bo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Meanwhile, this is incredible... http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ072&warncounty=CAC017&firewxzone=CAZ272&local_place1=8%20Miles%20NW%20South%20Lake%20Tahoe%20CA&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=39.0058&lon=-120.1034#.Vmh5e_mDFBc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Always wanted to experience a proper Sierra blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Always wanted to experience a proper Sierra blizzard It's on my bucket list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Always wanted to experience a proper Sierra blizzardI wouldn't mind stocking up, hunkering down and spending an entire Winter at a high elevation cabin in Washington or Oregon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 I wouldn't mind stocking up, hunkering down and spending an entire Winter at a high elevation cabin in Washington or Oregon. 500+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Would love to experience a mountain blizzard too - with 3' feet+ of snow. Have it be in the Sierra, Colorado Rockies or Cascades. There's definitely some backcountry cabins in the Cascades, most are within a day's hike of roads or set back a bit from ski areas. Back to this system though. I think Bo will at least get some snow regardless what the EURO says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 From 2' of snow at 18z yesterday, to light rain on today's 12z, to this. All in a days work in GFS-land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Interesting battle between Euro and the other models. Euro insists very little if any cold sector precip, while at times the GFS lays the smack down on the upper MW. For MSP, and surrounding areas sake I hope that the GFS is on the right track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmosnow Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Minneapolis can't catch a decent storm to save their lives. This looks like it may cut through Wisconsin, and likely would be a good storm for them in a lot of circumstances, but with little cold air, will probably be a mix of precip types for them. You gotta pick your run! Noon run looks pretty good for MSP.Still a long ways out but this year we are getting the extreme low baro traces and that should be good for MSP. Run to run variability must be driving weenies in that area nuts.If it were cold enough for snow here we would be going nuts as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmosnow Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Always wanted to experience a proper Sierra blizzard Lived in CA for some time.Picking weekends to catch a real blizzard made a serious weenie out of me.Was up there once when Donner pass was closed after 177 inches fell in five days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 Every run is a different solution on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 The system behind this one might end up being the better snow producer for the MSP to UP peeps. The current system looks like a Fall type rain event for the most part. Certainly starting to look like this one will be a forgettable storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 UKMET has been pretty consistently west with the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 The low on the GFS does a little cha cha cha dance, lol. From Sparta, WI to... Romeoville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 00z GGEM looks pretty good, especially for far northern WI and the UP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Bo, starts as snow on Sunday, then to rain or a mix for awhile on Monday, then back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Bo, starts as snow on Sunday, then to rain or a mix for awhile on Monday, then back to snow. I'm thinking mostly rain with some snow scraps on the back end on the order of 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 I'm thinking mostly rain with some snow scraps on the back end on the order of 3-4" Lol at bo calling 3-4" "scraps". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Lol at bo calling 3-4" "scraps".I'm 3 foot below normal in snow. 3-4" is scraps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Meanwhile, this is incredible... http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ072&warncounty=CAC017&firewxzone=CAZ272&local_place1=8%20Miles%20NW%20South%20Lake%20Tahoe%20CA&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=39.0058&lon=-120.1034#.Vmh5e_mDFBc I drove through there once. Snow was about 10 feet deep on the side of the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 latest GFS is lame, not really even much of a soaker IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 I'm 3 foot below normal in snow. 3-4" is scraps. Ha Ha..... I am about 2 feet below right now , I was hoping for at least some backend "scraps" for my area to at least make it resemble a winter not sure that will happen. As a poster said this does resemble storms tracks you normally see in October/November. Extended range still keeps the majority of the arctic sub -15c temp air NW of the Hudson Bay not very conducive for LES. Heck I think my old stomping grounds may have more accumulated snowfall through December then my area now, wonder when the last time that has happened? This storm is going to be another "cold soaker" for pretty much everyone, another weaker system hot on this ones heels but looks about the same. The GFS decided to throw in a couple teaser nor'easters in extended range.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Guess I'll be chopping down the Christmas tree in the rain on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Man that is pitiful for snowfall... Looking more and more like a prolonged light rain event in this area. Heavy stuff out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 this one never had a chance at being a snow event? have you guys been paying attention to canada, deep cold is totally lacking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 this one never had a chance at being a snow event? have you guys been paying attention to canada, deep cold is totally lacking ^^ What he said, I was hoping for maybe some back end LES but no cold unitl you get into exterme Northern Canada, this sytem has no chance of pulling any true arctic air down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 this one never had a chance at being a snow event? have you guys been paying attention to canada, deep cold is totally lacking Cold air wasn't that deep with November storm... Problem here is the timing is off. Cold air isn't feeding into the storm like it did in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 ..EASTERN KS/MO/SOUTHERN IA DESPITE EVEN WEAKER INSTABILITY WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT INTO THIS REGION...FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST TRACK OF THE SUB-TROPICAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND/OR EARLY EVENING. GIVEN STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELDS /UP TO 50-KT AT 850 MB AND 60-70-KT AT 500 MB/...FAST STORM MOVEMENTS WILL BE LIKELY...WITH INCREASING BULK SHEAR SUPPORTING SOME STORM ORGANIZATION. OVERALL STRONG TO SEVERE STORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE LOW...GIVEN WEAK INSTABILITY. DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO THREAT CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE PRESENCE OF HODOGRAPH CURVATURE /EFFECTIVE SRH EXCEEDING 200 M2 PER S2/ LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 If you like a lot of moisture, you'll like the GEM. More bullish with the snow. More widespread 2"+ amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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