June gloom or glory? Pattern discussion moving into the first month of met summer

[Damage In Tolland]

In June on SE flow dews always increase. That's got the warm front hung up around NYC to Li. Never making north of that before occlusion / triple point

[IsentropicLift]

In June on SE flow dews always increase. That's got the warm front hung up around NYC to Li. Never making north of that before occlusion / triple point

So to be clear you're going completely dry for all of SNE before sunset on Saturday night?

[Damage In Tolland]

I don't think it rains here until after 6:00-7:00

[IsentropicLift]

I can't recall the last time the Euro showed such a ridiculously large QPF max

 

[CoastalWx]

The GFS seems most bullish with a warm sector and dryslot deal Sunday.

[IsentropicLift]

I don't think it rains here until after 6:00-7:00

Well the 12z Euro agrees with you, slowing everything down until after 00z for SNE. I just think that the high res models have better skill in picking up the activity ahead of the main batch.

[IsentropicLift]

The GFS seems most bullish with a warm sector and dryslot deal Sunday.

12z Euro coming in wet for Sunday, especially North of the Pike. Surface low passes near the Cape Sunday afternoon.

[Ginx snewx]

Sat is still a crappy summer day, and yes QPF cutback but it still rains tonight

[Ginx snewx]

I don't think it rains here until after 6:00-7:00

Good day for yard work, temps in the 60's SE winds

[Ginx snewx]

Warm front crossing SNE? Lol. We never warm sector

wait wasn't it a warm front that passed prior to the Severe on Tues?

[Damage In Tolland]

wait wasn't it a warm front that passed prior to the Severe on Tues?

Yes. Typically in summer we sector.. Not this time sadly

[Ginx snewx]

Yes. Typically in summer we sector.. Not this time sadly

never is a relative term in your lexicon, understood

[Damage In Tolland]

never is a relative term in your lexicon, understood

What? I said this storm we never warm sector

[Ginx snewx]

What? I said this storm we never warm sector

oh I read it as we never sector

 

Warm front crossing SNE? Lol. We never warm sector

[Damage In Tolland]

[Ginx snewx]

:axesmily:

:mileycyrus:

[CoastalWx]

Euro has some 30kt+ winds Sunday morning for cstl areas. Heavy rain too with low going near Canal by aftn.

[Baroclinic Zone]

#unreadable

[Typhoon Tip]

If someone was an aspiring art student and were tasked with creating a great illustration that hearkened to an unforeseeable force that hates everyone ... deliberately ruining a weekend day as though pulling it's pants down and dumping a big, steaming pile of proverbial poo on Kevin's shiny dome, they'de be like "...Wait!  Sweeet - I don't have to draw that picture, the Euro did it for me"

[Ginx snewx]

Euro has some 30kt+ winds Sunday morning for cstl areas. Heavy rain too with low going near Canal by aftn.

Surfs up, full moon goon

[Ginx snewx]

Euro has some 30kt+ winds Sunday morning for cstl areas. Heavy rain too with low going near Canal by aftn.

Nice OES look, congrats

[Damage In Tolland]

Sunday afternoon looks decent as sun comes out pike south

[Ginx snewx]

Sunday afternoon looks decent as sun comes out pike south

Yea in Montauk per Euro

[Typhoon Tip]

18 z NAM perhaps a little more emphatic about some improvement Sunday afternoon... 

 

Boy, both the GFS/NAM are close to that being a sneaky a low LCL spinner swarm type day.   ... EFO buffet

[powderfreak]

If current models are correct in showing a 1-2" rainfall up here, the Picnic Tables outside the Mansfield Co-Op should become the wettest June since records started back in 1956. 

[nzucker]

18 z NAM perhaps a little more emphatic about some improvement Sunday afternoon...

Boy, both the GFS/NAM are close to that being a sneaky a low LCL spinner swarm type day. ... EFO buffet

850s are pretty cold though with residual cloudiness so doubt most get out of the 60s or low 70s...

[HIPPYVALLEY]

If current models are correct in showing a 1-2" rainfall up here, the Picnic Tables outside the Mansfield Co-Op should become the wettest June since records started back in 1956. 

 

Just pretend it's winter and cut qpf in half. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Uhg, I can see it being semi-crappy in the valley through mid-week. 

[Ginx snewx]

Congrats Kev on the T storm 

[Damage In Tolland]

That was pretty wild. Thing popped overhead. No thunder but had some gusty winds. Can someone look at that and tell me if they see the rotation or am I just seeing things? A quick .30