June gloom or glory? Pattern discussion moving into the first month of met summer

[eekuasepinniW]

And a lowering sun angle to contend with. 

 

 

Don't remind me plz.

 

Had to look it up... we lose 14 seconds of daylight today and tomorrow the max sun angle will begin lowering from its peak of 70.2 degrees.

[weathafella]

Just be glad that this is timed for this coming weekend vs the holiday weekend in a week. I remember BOS having a high of something like 57 on 7/4/92 with heavy rain postponing the festivities on the esplanade. It was rescheduled for the next night when it was overcast and 60. It lifted out over the next few days similar (albeit probably not as extreme this time) to what's coming.

[Whineminster]

Hey, your not a true Met unless you can deny and deflect a busted forecast, isn't that Meteorology 101?     

[Damage In Tolland]

4th perhaps hot as a firecracker with dews and bangers?

[#NoPoles]

Just be glad that this is timed for this coming weekend vs the holiday weekend in a week. I remember BOS having a high of something like 57 on 7/4/92 with heavy rain postponing the festivities on the esplanade. It was rescheduled for the next night when it was overcast and 60. It lifted out over the next few days similar (albeit probably not as extreme this time) to what's coming.

 

summer of 2009

[Ginx snewx]

It's a BN pattern, tomorrow and sat are Fugly

[Damage In Tolland]

Our weekend washout has turned into 12 hours of rain almost all of it falling Sat nite with sun either side of that. And tonight's rain is now missing way south. Tomorrow may end up nice

[CoastalWx]

Sunday looks lousy IMO. Maybe. Few hours savaged well SW?

[CoastalWx]

Sunday looks lousy IMO. Maybe. Few hours savaged well SW?

[Ginx snewx]

Our weekend washout has turned into 12 hours of rain almost all of it falling Sat nite with sun either side of that. And tonight's rain is now missing way south. Tomorrow may end up nice

who said weekend wash out anyways? looks pretty ugly for summer though

[Ginx snewx]

We may not hit 70 Saturday ugh. Lake side party FTL. Hopefully the rest of my 12 day at home vacation is much better

[Damage In Tolland]

who said weekend wash out anyways? looks pretty ugly for summer though

not hot., but could be worse. 70-75 with increasing clouds Sat with rain holding off till dark. Take able

[dendrite]

It's a BN pattern, tomorrow and sat are Fugly

82/60 is normal for BDL today. Some people forget that sunny days of 80/58 are BN this time of year. BDL will probably be BN today despite pushing 85. It's why I cheer on warmth in May and cool but dry in July...75/50 in July is awesome.

[IsentropicLift]

not hot., but could be worse. 70-75 with increasing clouds Sat with rain holding off till dark. Take able

Models are pretty dry on Saturday for C NE and N NE but not for SNE, especially not for CT. I think you go overcast by Noon and you rain by 5PM.

[Damage In Tolland]

Models are pretty dry on Saturday for C NE and N NE but not for SNE, especially not for CT. I think you go overcast by Noon and you rain by 5PM.

Lot of dry air to overcome from retreating HP. That and sun angle will eat initial stuff up.. Even down by you. Plus there's blocking and -nao. Think slower is way to go with onset

[IsentropicLift]

You can see the projected low cloud cover by 18z already into SW CT. Mid-level cloud deck probably arrives by this time tomorrow.

 

[Ginx snewx]

Rain is not south tonight on models, where are you seeing that Kev?

[IsentropicLift]

Lot of dry air to overcome from retreating HP. That and sun angle will eat initial stuff up.. Even down by you. Plus there's blocking and -nao. Think slower is way to go with onset

I agree on the slower movement, however I think your call of a sunny Saturday is overly optimistic. 

 

[dendrite]

Lot of dry air to overcome from retreating HP. That and sun angle will eat initial stuff up.. Even down by you. Plus there's blocking and -nao. Think slower is way to go with onset

Agree. Sun angle will hurt snow accums.

[IsentropicLift]

Rain is not south tonight on models, where are you seeing that Kev?

He is right about tonight. Models yesterday were showing 1-2" for NYC tonight and now show < 0.50" with bulk of activity over the Delmarva tonight.

[IsentropicLift]

Agree. Sun angle will hurt snow accums.

High res models show the potential for some rain out ahead of the main batch on Saturday afternoon along the warm front. I can already see his posts where he starts complaining about busts when the rain comes in earlier than expected. 

 

This is all well before the main batch gets going down in the Delmarva.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Rain is not south tonight on models, where are you seeing that Kev?

everything cut back on qpf and rgem was a whiff earlier . Maybe a few towns get a shower?

[Damage In Tolland]

This is 2:00 am Sunday and rain just getting ready to start

[IsentropicLift]

This is 2:00 am Sunday and rain just getting ready to start

That's only one model.

[CoastalWx]

Posting the RPM at hr 72?

[dendrite]

This is 2:00 am Sunday and rain just getting ready to start

Is this your forecast or model disco? I just want everyone on the same page so there's no more confusion.

[Damage In Tolland]

Is this your forecast or model disco? I just want everyone on the same page so there's no more confusion.

Our forecast

[IsentropicLift]

Posting the RPM at hr 72?

You know when the rains come in on Saturday afternoon he's going to cry bust when it was pretty clear all along that the warm front would be crossing into SNE then. You don't get a dry warm frontal passage this time of year.

[Damage In Tolland]

Warm front crossing SNE? Lol. We never warm sector

[IsentropicLift]

Warm front crossing SNE? Lol. We never warm sector

I see, so this surge in Dew Points is just nonsense then