40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Here are my thoughts on this potential, as well as the record: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com Discuss the threat, and no whining.....I'm sick of it. And so aren't Will and Zeus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Big model war going on right now. I'm fairly certain that no daffodils will be dilapidated though. (Since none are out) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 Big model war going on right now. I'm fairly certain that no daffodils will be dilapidated though. (Since none are out) Symbolic of the fact it coincides with the start of spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GFS 00Z/17 nudged NW with the precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 GFS 00Z/17 nudged NW with the precip shieldGFS waters the daffodils Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 The war is over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 EURO FTW again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Meh.Agreed. Very meh setup. With next week's storm chance slipping away, I'm almost ready to finalize the signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I'm kidding, but the setup is very tenuous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I always thought it was "suffice it to say", not "surfeit it to say"...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I think you have to take a couple of inches and run if you're able to pull that out with the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 I always thought it was "suffice it to say", not "surfeit it to say"...lol. Typo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I would say it better look healthier at 12z than the 00z run if you want advisory snows or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 I would say it better look healthier at 12z than the 00z run if you want advisory snows or better. Did the EURO look worse? We should have a good idea after 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Did the EURO look worse? We should have a good idea after 12z. Yes...not a lot worse, but we didn't have a lot of wiggle room to begin with. Its went from like a 4-6" situation at 12z to maybe 2-4 last night. Other guidance didn't really bite, so I think 12z may be it...if we don't see some obvious improvements, then the >4" solutions are probably off the table. I obviously wouldn't discount smaller amounts in the 1-3" range as a stat padder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 Yes...not a lot worse, but we didn't have a lot of wiggle room to begin with. Its went from like a 4-6" situation at 12z to maybe 2-4 last night. Other guidance didn't really bite, so I think 12z may be it...if we don't see some obvious improvements, then the >4" solutions are probably off the table. I obviously wouldn't discount smaller amounts in the 1-3" range as a stat padder. Agreed. Saw the EURO...slightly less robust. Jesus, the GFS implies that we'd be better served to wait until December. EURO offers the obligatory day 10 vestige of hope. Season of potential deconstruction (save southern areas) post Feb 15 continues. If nothing concrete shows up by the end of the week, I'm headed into "please rip the bandaid off" mode... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Does this have the same potential the one last time did with that sneaky mid level fronto band that the models never pick up on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 The whole setup is kind of putrid to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 The whole setup is kind of putrid to be honest. This is the worst seasonal truncation that I have ever seen. Seems that more often than not, a large portion of the area pays for these epic stretches shortly thereafter. Karma leveling playing field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Agreed. Saw the EURO...slightly less robust. Jesus, the GFS implies that we'd be better served to wait until December. EURO offers the obligatory day 10 vestige of hope. Season of potential deconstruction (save southern areas) post Feb 15 continues. If nothing concrete shows up by the end of the week, I'm headed into "please rip the bandaid off" mode... Yesterdays 12z Euro had a CCB with lots of warning level snows south of the Pike, last nights was definitely less impressive with the max over LI , barely gets you anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 Yesterdays 12z Euro had a CCB with lots of warning level snows south of the Pike, last nights was definitely less impressive with the max over LI , barely gets you anything Right. Which is why I made the statement I did. I'd give it until 12z, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Right. Which is why I made the statement I did. I'd give it until 12z, though. Other than the GGEM was this even a threat to Wilmington Ma USA? all the runs I saw yesterday were pretty far south even the Euro ens were clustered south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Lol ray couldn't resist bitching about the truncation in this thread. This one needs to return to the 12z look of yesterday's Euro for advisory stuff. That run would have had some weenie bands into the pike region with even a bit of a commahead in E MA. Last nights was mostly weak overrunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Other than the GGEM was this even a threat to Wilmington Ma USA? all the runs I saw yesterday were pretty far south even the Euro ens were clustered south. Yesterday's euro looked good for pike and up to ray. South coast would have some ptype issues on that run. But I think that solution is looking less likely. Last nights was less dynamical in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 So again.. Does this offer the same potential as that last one with sneaky fronto band? Looks to me like same kind of system only farther north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 Other than the GGEM was this even a threat to Wilmington Ma USA? all the runs I saw yesterday were pretty far south even the Euro ens were clustered south. I'm not sure what your point is. A promising period as a whole doesn't look so promising....incredible three week period, though. Hope you get your 2-4". Still too early to call it, though...almost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 So again.. Does this offer the same potential as that last one with sneaky fronto band? Looks to me like same kind of system only farther north No. Fronto Is definitely weaker. If we got a solution like yesterday's euro then a few sneaky bands might be possible but otherwise it is not that impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2015 Author Share Posted March 18, 2015 No. Fronto Is definitely weaker. If we got a solution like yesterday's euro then a few sneaky bands might be possible but otherwise it is not that impressive. Well, hopefully we make the best of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.